Sport Picks
Celoricense vs Vilaverdense FC
Portugal
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
Celoricense host Vilaverdense FC in the Campeonato de Portugal - Group A. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Celoricense at 1 goals for, 0.63 against; Vilaverdense FC at 0.38 for, 1.75 against. Past meetings favor Celoricense slightly — 0-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 11, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.38 vs 0.51, favoring Celoricense. Celoricense in a double chance market carries the safer edge.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Celoricense has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Vilaverdense FC.
- Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Celoricense.
- League standings and seasonal metrics in Campeonato de Portugal - Group A provide steady trend data.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Celoricense | Vilaverdense FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 4 |
| Draws | 9 | 9 |
| Losses | 7 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 0.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.63 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 0.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.63 | 1.75 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Celoricense Compare
Vilaverdense FC Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Celoricense scored in 66% of their last 29 games.
Vilaverdense FC let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 1.00 goals.
Celoricense went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Vilaverdense FC lost 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | GD Braganca | 26 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 41:29 | 48 |
| 2 | SC Vianense | 26 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 49:28 | 48 |
| 3 | Brito | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 36:24 | 46 |
| 4 | Celoricense | 26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 35:23 | 42 |
| 5 | AD Limianos | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 35:32 | 41 |
| 6 | Tirsense | 26 | 9 | 13 | 4 | 31:22 | 40 |
| 7 | Camacha | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 34:26 | 36 |
| 8 | Chaves B | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 40:29 | 36 |
| 9 | Machico | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 28:30 | 36 |
| 10 | Sao Martinho | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 22:31 | 34 |
| 11 | SC Mirandela | 26 | 10 | 2 | 14 | 21:29 | 32 |
| 12 | Vilaverdense FC | 26 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 15:31 | 21 |
| 13 | CD Ribeira Brava | 26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 20:46 | 20 |
| 14 | Desportivo Moncao | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 26:53 | 17 |