Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Celta Vigo B vs Castellon

Spain Spain

LaLiga2 Estadio de Balaídos, Vigo
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Castillo F.
46'
Sub
Meixus P. In: Kibet A.
Out: Meixus P.
46'
Sub
Antanon A. In: Burcio H.
Out: Antanon A.

AI Match Summary

Castellon in this LaLiga2 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Castellon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Celta Vigo B
20%
Draws
61%
Castellon
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Castellon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

19% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Castellon lately — more wins on the board than Celta Vigo B.
  • Model gives Celta Vigo B a 19% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Celta Vigo B Clean Sheet 16%
Castellon Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Celta Vigo B Castellon
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 12 14
Draws 10 8
Losses 7 6
Goals Scored 1.55 1.71
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 31, 2026 LaLiga2
Celta Vigo B vs Castellon
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Celta Vigo B Compare

Top Goalscorer Marcos O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Castellon Compare

Top Goalscorer Castillo F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Santiago P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Celta Vigo B 57 / 100
Castellon 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Celta Vigo B Castellon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Celta Vigo B Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Celta Vigo B scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Castellon has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Celta Vigo B stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Celta Vigo B VS Castellon
1.63 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Celta Vigo B

(Home)
26 Sept
Celta Vigo B
1 : 1
Sabadell
20 Sept
Almeria
2 : 0
Celta Vigo B
14 Sept
Celta Vigo B
0 : 4
Eibar
05 Sept
AD Ceuta
0 : 2
Celta Vigo B
31 Aug
Celta Vigo B
1 : 2
Castellon
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Castellon

(Away)
19 Sept
Castellon
5 : 0
Tenerife
12 Sept
Girona
1 : 2
Castellon
06 Sept
Castellon
2 : 0
Albacete
31 Aug
Celta Vigo B
1 : 2
Castellon
23 Aug
Castellon
0 : 0
Sabadell
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Castellon 6 5 1 0 12:2 16
2 Eibar 6 5 0 1 12:4 15
3 Girona 7 4 1 2 14:8 13
4 Mallorca 6 4 1 1 8:2 13
5 Almeria 6 4 0 2 10:4 12
6 Sabadell 7 3 3 1 8:6 12
7 Burgos CF 6 3 2 1 10:7 11
8 Leganes 6 3 2 1 6:5 11
9 Tenerife 7 3 2 2 8:9 11
10 Gijon 6 3 1 2 5:4 10
11 Las Palmas 6 3 1 2 8:8 10
12 Real Oviedo 6 2 2 2 5:4 8
13 Granada CF 7 2 2 3 10:11 8
14 Real Sociedad B 7 2 2 3 9:10 8
15 Celta Vigo B 7 2 2 3 8:11 8
16 FC Andorra 7 2 0 5 12:15 6
17 Cordoba 6 2 0 4 9:13 6
18 Eldense 6 1 2 3 4:8 5
19 Valladolid 6 1 2 3 3:8 5
20 Cadiz 7 0 4 3 7:10 4
21 AD Ceuta 7 1 1 5 6:17 4
22 Albacete 7 0 1 6 4:12 1
Promotion - LaLiga 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - LaLiga2 (Promotion - Play Offs)