Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Celta Vigo B vs UD Ourense

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Sobral M.
72' Event
Marin A.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Celta Vigo B and UD Ourense finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Celta Vigo B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Celta Vigo B
15%
Draws
26%
UD Ourense
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Celta Vigo B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • UD Ourense have managed 1.23 goals a game lately — Celta Vigo B are scoring more at 1.71.
  • Celta Vigo B are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Celta Vigo B have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 26%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Celta Vigo B Clean Sheet 20%
UD Ourense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Celta Vigo B UD Ourense
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 13 13
Draws 9 7
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 1.71 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.66 0.67
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Club Friendly
Celta Vigo B vs UD Ourense
2:0
Aug 13, 2025 Club Friendly
UD Ourense vs Celta Vigo B
1:2
Aug 14, 2024 Club Friendly
UD Ourense vs Celta Vigo B
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Celta Vigo B Compare

Top Goalscorer Sobral M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Marin A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.28
Avg xA / game 0.83

UD Ourense Compare

Avg xG / game 0.61
Avg xA / game 0.37

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Celta Vigo B 85 / 100
UD Ourense 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Celta Vigo B UD Ourense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Celta Vigo B Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Celta Vigo B scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.

UD Ourense let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.67 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Celta Vigo B remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Celta Vigo B VS UD Ourense
1.75 Goals Scored 0.71
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.57
63% Over 1.5 86%
38% Over 2.5 29%
38% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Celta Vigo B

(Home)
14 Sept
Celta Vigo B
0 : 4
Eibar
05 Sept
AD Ceuta
0 : 2
Celta Vigo B
31 Aug
Celta Vigo B
1 : 2
Castellon
24 Aug
Celta Vigo B
4 : 2
FC Andorra
15 Aug
Cadiz
0 : 0
Celta Vigo B
Page 1 of 6

UD Ourense

(Away)
19 Sept
Unionistas de Salamanca
3 : 1
UD Ourense
12 Sept
UD Ourense
0 : 3
UD Logrones
05 Sept
Mirandes
2 : 0
UD Ourense
29 Aug
UD Ourense
0 : 1
Ponferradina
19 Aug
UD Ourense
2 : 0
Barco
Page 1 of 6