Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Celta Vigo vs Bournemouth - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

Europa League Estadio de Balaídos, Vigo
Thu, Nov 26, 2026
VS
05:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Celta Vigo host Bournemouth in the Europa League. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Celta Vigo have averaged 1.21 scored and 1.18 conceded recently, against Bournemouth's 2.34 scored and 1.07 conceded. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. Model xG sits at 1.06 vs 1.63, favoring Bournemouth. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Celta Vigo
15%
Draws
58%
Bournemouth
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bournemouth

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Bournemouth carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Bournemouth a 58% chance of winning this.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Celta Vigo Clean Sheet 14%
Bournemouth Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Celta Vigo Bournemouth
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 8 16
Draws 10 9
Losses 10 4
Goals Scored 1.21 2.34
Goals Conceded 1.18 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Celta Vigo 10 / 100
Bournemouth 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Celta Vigo Bournemouth

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bournemouth Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:7
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Celta Vigo scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

Bournemouth let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Celta Vigo went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Celta Vigo VS Bournemouth
1.38 Goals Scored 2.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Celta Vigo

(Home)
05 Nov
Celta Vigo
1 : 2
Royale Union SG
31 Oct
Rayo Vallecano
3 : 0
Celta Vigo
25 Oct
Celta Vigo
0 : 0
Betis
22 Oct
Celtic
1 : 2
Celta Vigo
18 Oct
Celta Vigo
2 : 1
Alaves
Page 1 of 6

Bournemouth

(Away)
05 Nov
Sparta Prague
1 : 3
Bournemouth
31 Oct
Bournemouth
2 : 0
Leeds
28 Oct
Bournemouth
3 : 0
Aston Villa
25 Oct
Manchester United
0 : 3
Bournemouth
22 Oct
Bournemouth
3 : 0
AC Milan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Benfica 4 4 0 0 13:3 12
2 Bournemouth 4 4 0 0 11:2 12
3 Ferencvaros 4 4 0 0 11:3 12
4 Royale Union SG 4 3 1 0 10:2 10
5 Juventus 4 3 1 0 11:4 10
6 Olympiacos Piraeus 4 3 1 0 4:1 10
7 Bayer Leverkusen 4 3 0 1 8:1 9
8 Besiktas 4 2 1 1 11:8 7
9 Din. Zagreb 4 2 1 1 5:4 7
10 Levski Sofia 4 2 1 1 4:3 7
11 Sunderland 4 2 1 1 4:4 7
12 Nijmegen 4 2 1 1 8:9 7
13 Lyon 4 2 1 1 6:7 7
14 AZ Alkmaar 4 2 0 2 7:4 6
15 Anderlecht 4 2 0 2 6:3 6
16 OFI Crete 4 2 0 2 5:4 6
17 Rennes 4 1 3 0 4:3 6
18 Omonia 4 2 0 2 6:7 6
19 Torreense 4 2 0 2 7:9 6
20 Real Sociedad 4 1 2 1 9:4 5
21 Crystal Palace 4 1 2 1 9:6 5
22 Sparta Prague 4 1 1 2 6:6 4
23 Hoffenheim 4 1 1 2 6:6 4
24 Sturm Graz 4 1 1 2 3:6 4
25 Celje 4 1 1 2 5:9 4
26 Salzburg 4 1 1 2 3:8 4
27 Celta Vigo 4 1 0 3 4:6 3
28 AC Milan 4 1 0 3 4:7 3
29 Jagiellonia 4 1 0 3 4:7 3
30 Plzen 4 1 0 3 3:7 3
31 Marseille 4 1 0 3 2:6 3
32 Celtic 4 1 0 3 6:11 3
33 H. Beer Sheva 4 0 1 3 1:8 1
34 Lillestrom 4 0 1 3 2:10 1
35 Lech Poznan 4 0 1 3 2:12 1
36 Ararat-Armenia 4 0 0 4 4:14 0
Promotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)