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Celta Vigo vs Nacional

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

31'
Sub
Rueda J. In: Carreira S.
Out: Rueda J.
32' Event
Sotelo H.
(Penalty)
45'
Paulinho Boia

AI Match Summary

Celta Vigo in this Club Friendly 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Celta Vigo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Celta Vigo
30%
Draws
0%
Nacional
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Celta Vigo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Celta Vigo lately — more wins on the board than Nacional.
  • Celta Vigo are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Celta Vigo Clean Sheet 20%
Nacional Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Celta Vigo Nacional
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 6
Draws 10 6
Losses 11 18
Goals Scored 1.37 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 22, 2025 Club Friendly
Celta Vigo vs Nacional
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Celta Vigo Compare

Top Goalscorer Gonzalez H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Nacional Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Celta Vigo 85 / 100
Nacional 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Celta Vigo Nacional

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Celta Vigo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Away concern: Nacional has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Celta Vigo's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Nacional's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Celta Vigo VS Nacional
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Celta Vigo

(Home)
19 Sept
Celta Vigo
5 : 0
Racing Santander
16 Sept
Omonia
1 : 0
Celta Vigo
13 Sept
Celta Vigo
1 : 1
Malaga
07 Sept
Getafe
1 : 1
Celta Vigo
03 Sept
Real Sociedad
0 : 0
Celta Vigo
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Nacional

(Away)
19 Sept
Nacional
0 : 4
Famalicao
12 Sept
Nacional
1 : 3
Alverca
05 Sept
Sporting CP
2 : 0
Nacional
30 Aug
Nacional
2 : 3
Estrela da Amadora
23 Aug
Vitoria Guimaraes
1 : 0
Nacional
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