Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Celta Vigo vs Osasuna

Spain Spain

LaLiga Estadio de Balaídos, Vigo
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Aspas I.
Assist: Roman M.
27'
Dubasin J.
46'
Sub
Moncayola J. In: Munoz I.
Out: Moncayola J.

AI Match Summary

The LaLiga game between Celta Vigo and Osasuna finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Osasuna.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Celta Vigo
35%
Draws
45%
Osasuna
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Osasuna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Osasuna carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular LaLiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38.400000000000006%
Celta Vigo Clean Sheet 68%
Osasuna Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Celta Vigo Osasuna
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 8 9
Draws 9 7
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.29 1.18
Goals Conceded 1.46 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 27, 2026 LaLiga
Celta Vigo vs Osasuna
1:2
Feb 6, 2026 LaLiga
Celta Vigo vs Osasuna
1:2
Oct 26, 2025 LaLiga
Osasuna vs Celta Vigo
2:3
Feb 21, 2025 LaLiga
Celta Vigo vs Osasuna
1:0
Sep 1, 2024 LaLiga
Osasuna vs Celta Vigo
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Celta Vigo Compare

Top Goalscorer Aspas I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Osasuna Compare

Top Goalscorer Barja K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Celta Vigo 41 / 100
Osasuna 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Celta Vigo Osasuna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Celta Vigo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Osasuna let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Celta Vigo found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).

Celta Vigo went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Celta Vigo VS Osasuna
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Celta Vigo

(Home)
07 Sept
Getafe
1 : 1
Celta Vigo
03 Sept
Real Sociedad
0 : 0
Celta Vigo
30 Aug
Celta Vigo
0 : 2
Ath Bilbao
27 Aug
Celta Vigo
1 : 2
Osasuna
22 Aug
Valencia
0 : 0
Celta Vigo
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Osasuna

(Away)
12 Sept
Osasuna
0 : 2
Espanyol
06 Sept
Alaves
5 : 2
Osasuna
31 Aug
Osasuna
1 : 0
Getafe
27 Aug
Celta Vigo
1 : 2
Osasuna
24 Aug
Osasuna
0 : 0
Levante
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barcelona 4 4 0 0 17:2 12
2 Real Madrid 5 4 0 1 14:4 12
3 Alaves 5 3 1 1 11:5 10
4 Sevilla 5 3 1 1 8:6 10
5 Betis 4 3 0 1 5:5 9
6 Dep. A Coruna 4 2 2 0 8:5 8
7 Espanyol 5 2 1 2 8:5 7
8 Atl. Madrid 4 2 1 1 7:6 7
9 Ath Bilbao 5 2 1 2 7:6 7
10 Racing Santander 5 2 1 2 9:9 7
11 Real Sociedad 5 2 1 2 6:8 7
12 Osasuna 5 2 1 2 5:8 7
13 Levante 4 1 2 1 5:5 5
14 Getafe 4 1 1 2 2:5 4
15 Rayo Vallecano 5 1 1 3 8:14 4
16 Celta Vigo 5 0 3 2 2:5 3
17 Villarreal 4 0 2 2 6:8 2
18 Malaga 4 0 2 2 1:7 2
19 Elche 5 0 2 3 6:13 2
20 Valencia 5 0 1 4 1:10 1
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - LaLiga2 2027/2028 (Main)