Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Celta Vigo vs Osasuna

Spain Spain

LaLiga Estadio de Balaídos, Vigo
Sun, Aug 16, 2026
VS
07:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Celta Vigo host Osasuna in the LaLiga. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Osasuna have shipped 1.38 goals a game lately, while Celta Vigo have conceded 1.13 and scored 1.5. Head-to-head, Celta Vigo have won 3 to Osasuna's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Feb 6, 2026, ending 1:2. Model xG sits at 1.44 vs 1.13, favoring Celta Vigo. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Under 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Celta Vigo
33%
Draws
27%
Osasuna
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Celta Vigo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Celta Vigo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Celta Vigo are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular LaLiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.8%
Celta Vigo Clean Sheet 68%
Osasuna Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Celta Vigo Osasuna
Matches Played 31 27
Wins 14 10
Draws 7 6
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.5 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 6, 2026 LaLiga
Celta Vigo vs Osasuna
1:2
Oct 26, 2025 LaLiga
Osasuna vs Celta Vigo
2:3
Feb 21, 2025 LaLiga
Celta Vigo vs Osasuna
1:0
Sep 1, 2024 LaLiga
Osasuna vs Celta Vigo
3:2
Feb 4, 2024 LaLiga
Osasuna vs Celta Vigo
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Celta Vigo 50 / 100
Osasuna 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Celta Vigo Osasuna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CEL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Celta Vigo scored in 87% of their last 31 games.

Osasuna let in goals in 81% of their last 27 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Celta Vigo went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Celta Vigo VS Osasuna
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Celta Vigo

(Home)
25 Jul
Celta Vigo
1 : 0
Gijon
18 Jul
Braga
2 : 2
Celta Vigo
23 May
Celta Vigo
1 : 0
Sevilla
17 May
Ath Bilbao
1 : 1
Celta Vigo
12 May
Celta Vigo
2 : 3
Levante
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Osasuna

(Away)
24 Jul
Osasuna
2 : 0
Racing Santander
23 May
Getafe
1 : 0
Osasuna
17 May
Osasuna
1 : 2
Espanyol
12 May
Osasuna
1 : 2
Atl. Madrid
08 May
Levante
3 : 2
Osasuna
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Real Sociedad00000:00
2Elche00000:00
3Alaves00000:00
4Celta Vigo00000:00
5Malaga00000:00
6Rayo Vallecano00000:00
7Real Madrid00000:00
8Villarreal00000:00
9Barcelona00000:00
10Atl. Madrid00000:00
11Sevilla00000:00
12Racing Santander00000:00
13Dep. A Coruna00000:00
14Valencia00000:00
15Ath Bilbao00000:00
16Espanyol00000:00
17Betis00000:00
18Getafe00000:00
19Osasuna00000:00
20Levante00000:00
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - LaLiga2 2027/2028 (Main)