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Celta Vigo vs Royale Union SG - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

Europa League Estadio de Balaídos, Vigo
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Match Events

11' Event
Duran P.
Assist: Carreira S.
35' Event
Zeneli B.
Assist: Zorgane A.
49' Event
Zeneli B.
Assist: Rodriguez K.

AI Match Summary

Royale Union SG in this Europa League matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Royale Union SG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Celta Vigo
15%
Draws
58%
Royale Union SG
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Royale Union SG

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Royale Union SG have won more games recently than Celta Vigo.
  • Win probability leans Royale Union SG's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Celta Vigo Clean Sheet 11%
Royale Union SG Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Celta Vigo Royale Union SG
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 8 21
Draws 10 5
Losses 10 4
Goals Scored 1.21 2.73
Goals Conceded 1.18 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 5, 2026 Europa League
Celta Vigo vs Royale Union SG
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Celta Vigo Compare

Top Goalscorer Duran P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Royale Union SG Compare

Top Goalscorer Zeneli B.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Celta Vigo 10 / 100
Royale Union SG 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Celta Vigo Royale Union SG

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Royale Union SG Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Celta Vigo's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: Royale Union SG conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Celta Vigo went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Celta Vigo VS Royale Union SG
1.25 Goals Scored 2.63
1 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Celta Vigo

(Home)
05 Nov
Celta Vigo
1 : 2
Royale Union SG
31 Oct
Rayo Vallecano
3 : 0
Celta Vigo
25 Oct
Celta Vigo
0 : 0
Betis
22 Oct
Celtic
1 : 2
Celta Vigo
18 Oct
Celta Vigo
2 : 1
Alaves
Page 1 of 6

Royale Union SG

(Away)
05 Nov
Celta Vigo
1 : 2
Royale Union SG
31 Oct
SK Beveren
1 : 2
Royale Union SG
25 Oct
Royale Union SG
5 : 2
Cercle Brugge
22 Oct
Royale Union SG
4 : 0
H. Beer Sheva
18 Oct
Royale Union SG
3 : 0
Nijlen
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Benfica 4 4 0 0 13:3 12
2 Bournemouth 4 4 0 0 11:2 12
3 Ferencvaros 4 4 0 0 11:3 12
4 Royale Union SG 4 3 1 0 10:2 10
5 Juventus 4 3 1 0 11:4 10
6 Olympiacos Piraeus 4 3 1 0 4:1 10
7 Bayer Leverkusen 4 3 0 1 8:1 9
8 Besiktas 4 2 1 1 11:8 7
9 Din. Zagreb 4 2 1 1 5:4 7
10 Levski Sofia 4 2 1 1 4:3 7
11 Sunderland 4 2 1 1 4:4 7
12 Nijmegen 4 2 1 1 8:9 7
13 Lyon 4 2 1 1 6:7 7
14 AZ Alkmaar 4 2 0 2 7:4 6
15 Anderlecht 4 2 0 2 6:3 6
16 OFI Crete 4 2 0 2 5:4 6
17 Rennes 4 1 3 0 4:3 6
18 Omonia 4 2 0 2 6:7 6
19 Torreense 4 2 0 2 7:9 6
20 Real Sociedad 4 1 2 1 9:4 5
21 Crystal Palace 4 1 2 1 9:6 5
22 Sparta Prague 4 1 1 2 6:6 4
23 Hoffenheim 4 1 1 2 6:6 4
24 Sturm Graz 4 1 1 2 3:6 4
25 Celje 4 1 1 2 5:9 4
26 Salzburg 4 1 1 2 3:8 4
27 Celta Vigo 4 1 0 3 4:6 3
28 AC Milan 4 1 0 3 4:7 3
29 Jagiellonia 4 1 0 3 4:7 3
30 Plzen 4 1 0 3 3:7 3
31 Marseille 4 1 0 3 2:6 3
32 Celtic 4 1 0 3 6:11 3
33 H. Beer Sheva 4 0 1 3 1:8 1
34 Lillestrom 4 0 1 3 2:10 1
35 Lech Poznan 4 0 1 3 2:12 1
36 Ararat-Armenia 4 0 0 4 4:14 0
Promotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)