Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Celtic vs AS Roma

Europe Europe

Europa League 2025/2026 Celtic Park
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Scales L.
Assist: Soule M.
Own Goal
36' Event
Ferguson E.
Assist: Celik Z.
45' Event
Ferguson E.
Assist: Soule M.

AI Match Summary

AS Roma in this Europa League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored AS Roma.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Celtic
11%
Draws
80%
AS Roma
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: AS Roma

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Celtic lately — more wins on the board than AS Roma.
  • Model gives AS Roma a 80% chance of winning this.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Celtic Clean Sheet 12%
AS Roma Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Celtic AS Roma
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 21 16
Draws 4 6
Losses 5 8
Goals Scored 2.88 2.38
Goals Conceded 1.13 1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.88 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 11, 2025 Europa League
Celtic vs AS Roma
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Celtic Compare

Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.44

AS Roma Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferguson E.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Celtic 11 / 100
AS Roma 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Celtic AS Roma

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ROM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Celtic scored in 93% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Celtic went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

AS Roma has conceded goals in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Celtic VS AS Roma
2.88 Goals Scored 2.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Lyon870118:521
2Aston Villa870114:621
3Midtjylland861118:819
4Betis852113:717
5FC Porto852113:717
6Braga852111:517
7Freiburg852110:417
8AS Roma851213:616
9Genk851211:716
10Bologna843114:715
11VfB Stuttgart850315:915
12Ferencvaros843112:1115
13Nottingham842215:714
14Plzen83508:314
15Crvena zvezda84227:614
16Celta Vigo841315:1113
17PAOK833217:1412
18Lille840412:912
19Fenerbahce833210:712
20Panathinaikos833211:912
21Celtic832313:1511
22Ludogorets831412:1510
23Din. Zagreb831412:1610
24Brann82339:119
25Young Boys830510:169
26Sturm Graz82155:117
27FCSB82159:167
28G.A. Eagles82156:147
29Feyenoord820611:156
30Basel82069:136
31Salzburg820610:156
32Rangers81165:144
33Nice81077:153
34Utrecht80175:151
35Malmo FF80174:151
36Maccabi Tel Aviv80172:221