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Celtic vs Dundee FC

Scotland Scotland

Premiership Celtic Park, Glasgow
Our Tip

Match Events

52' Event
Nygren B.
Assist: Tierney K.
60'
Sub
Murray S. In: Hay A.
Out: Murray S.
60'
Sub
Reilly C. In: Robertson F.
Out: Reilly C.

AI Match Summary

Celtic in this Premiership matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Celtic.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Celtic
15%
Draws
46%
Dundee FC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dundee FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Celtic lately — more wins on the board than Dundee FC.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Premiership form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Celtic here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.8%
Celtic Clean Sheet 68%
Dundee FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Celtic Dundee FC
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 21 12
Draws 4 6
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 2.1 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 3, 2026 Premiership
Celtic vs Dundee FC
1:0
Apr 5, 2026 Premiership
Dundee FC vs Celtic
1:2
Feb 7, 2026 Scottish Cup
Celtic vs Dundee FC
2:1
Dec 3, 2025 Premiership
Celtic vs Dundee FC
1:0
Oct 19, 2025 Premiership
Dundee FC vs Celtic
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Celtic Compare

Top Goalscorer Nygren B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Dundee FC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Celtic 41 / 100
Dundee FC 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Celtic Dundee FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Celtic Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Celtic's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Dundee FC has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Celtic stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Celtic VS Dundee FC
2.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Celtic

(Home)
20 Sept
Celtic
0 : 1
Rangers
17 Sept
Celtic
1 : 3
Ferencvaros
13 Sept
Rangers
3 : 0
Celtic
09 Sept
St Johnstone
0 : 1
Celtic
05 Sept
St. Mirren
1 : 2
Celtic
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Dundee FC

(Away)
19 Sept
Dundee FC
2 : 1
Motherwell
06 Sept
Hearts
2 : 1
Dundee FC
02 Sept
Dundee FC
1 : 1
St Johnstone
30 Aug
Dundee FC
1 : 2
Hibernian
22 Aug
Dundee Utd
0 : 2
Dundee FC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Celtic 7 6 0 1 14:4 18
2 Rangers 7 5 1 1 8:4 16
3 Hearts 7 4 1 2 14:8 13
4 Dundee FC 7 3 1 3 9:7 10
5 St. Mirren 7 3 1 3 8:9 10
6 St Johnstone 7 2 2 3 9:10 8
7 Aberdeen 7 2 2 3 7:8 8
8 Dundee Utd 7 2 2 3 9:11 8
9 Motherwell 7 2 2 3 9:11 8
10 Hibernian 7 2 1 4 8:11 7
11 Falkirk 7 1 3 3 6:9 6
12 Kilmarnock 7 1 2 4 6:15 5
Promotion - Premiership (Championship Group)
Relegation - Premiership (Relegation Group)