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Celtic vs Ferencvaros

Europe Europe

Europa League Celtic Park, Glasgow
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Yusuf B.
Assist: Zachariassen K.
44' Event
Baur M.
Assist: Tierney K.
45' Event
Zachariassen K.
Assist: Yusuf B.

AI Match Summary

Ferencvaros in this Europa League matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ferencvaros.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Celtic
15%
Draws
50%
Ferencvaros
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ferencvaros

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Celtic at 2.14 per game, Ferencvaros at 2.1.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Ferencvaros taking it.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Celtic Clean Sheet 11%
Ferencvaros Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Celtic Ferencvaros
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 20 20
Draws 4 6
Losses 5 3
Goals Scored 2.14 2.1
Goals Conceded 1.31 0.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 17, 2026 Europa League
Celtic vs Ferencvaros
1:3
Nov 4, 2021 Europa League
Ferencvaros vs Celtic
2:3
Oct 19, 2021 Europa League
Celtic vs Ferencvaros
2:0
Aug 26, 2020 Champions League
Celtic vs Ferencvaros
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Celtic Compare

Top Goalscorer Baur M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Ferencvaros Compare

Top Goalscorer Yusuf B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zachariassen K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Celtic 10 / 100
Ferencvaros 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Celtic Ferencvaros

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ferencvaros Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:6
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Celtic's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Celtic went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Ferencvaros has conceded goals in 52% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Celtic VS Ferencvaros
2.63 Goals Scored 2.63
1 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Celtic

(Home)
17 Sept
Celtic
1 : 3
Ferencvaros
13 Sept
Rangers
3 : 0
Celtic
09 Sept
St Johnstone
0 : 1
Celtic
05 Sept
St. Mirren
1 : 2
Celtic
02 Sept
Celtic
3 : 0
Aberdeen
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Ferencvaros

(Away)
17 Sept
Celtic
1 : 3
Ferencvaros
12 Sept
Debreceni EAC
0 : 7
Ferencvaros
06 Sept
Ferencvaros
2 : 2
Ujpest
03 Sept
Gyor
0 : 3
Ferencvaros
30 Aug
Puskas Academy
1 : 2
Ferencvaros
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Juventus 1 1 0 0 5:0 3
2 Crystal Palace 1 1 0 0 4:0 3
3 Sparta Prague 1 1 0 0 4:1 3
4 Besiktas 1 1 0 0 4:1 3
5 Royale Union SG 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
6 Ferencvaros 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
7 Benfica 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
8 Bayer Leverkusen 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
9 OFI Crete 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
10 Bournemouth 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
11 Lyon 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
12 Torreense 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
13 Olympiacos Piraeus 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
14 Salzburg 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
15 Sunderland 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
16 Omonia 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
17 Sturm Graz 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
18 Rennes 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
19 Din. Zagreb 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
20 H. Beer Sheva 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
21 Jagiellonia 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
22 Real Sociedad 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
23 Anderlecht 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
24 Lillestrom 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
25 Celta Vigo 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
26 AZ Alkmaar 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
27 Levski Sofia 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
28 Celtic 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
29 Hoffenheim 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
30 AC Milan 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
31 Celje 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
32 Marseille 1 0 0 1 1:4 0
33 Ararat-Armenia 1 0 0 1 1:4 0
34 Plzen 1 0 0 1 0:3 0
35 Lech Poznan 1 0 0 1 0:4 0
36 Nijmegen 1 0 0 1 0:5 0
Promotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)