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Celtic vs Ferencvaros - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

Europa League Celtic Park, Glasgow
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Yusuf B.
Assist: Zachariassen K.
44' Event
Baur M.
Assist: Tierney K.
45' Event
Zachariassen K.
Assist: Yusuf B.

AI Match Summary

Ferencvaros in this Europa League matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ferencvaros.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Celtic
20%
Draws
52%
Ferencvaros
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ferencvaros

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Celtic haven't matched Ferencvaros's recent run of results.
  • 52% — that's where the model lands on Ferencvaros taking it.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Celtic Clean Sheet 10%
Ferencvaros Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Celtic Ferencvaros
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 16 18
Draws 4 8
Losses 9 2
Goals Scored 1.97 2.21
Goals Conceded 1.48 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 17, 2026 Europa League
Celtic vs Ferencvaros
1:3
Nov 4, 2021 Europa League
Ferencvaros vs Celtic
2:3
Oct 19, 2021 Europa League
Celtic vs Ferencvaros
2:0
Aug 26, 2020 Champions League
Celtic vs Ferencvaros
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Celtic Compare

Top Goalscorer Baur M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Ferencvaros Compare

Top Goalscorer Yusuf B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zachariassen K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Celtic 10 / 100
Ferencvaros 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Celtic Ferencvaros

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ferencvaros Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:6
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Celtic's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Celtic went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Ferencvaros has conceded goals in 57% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

Celtic VS Ferencvaros
1.88 Goals Scored 2.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Celtic

(Home)
01 Nov
Falkirk
2 : 0
Celtic
28 Oct
Celtic
2 : 2
Dundee Utd
25 Oct
Hibernian
1 : 2
Celtic
22 Oct
Celtic
1 : 2
Celta Vigo
18 Oct
Celtic
7 : 1
Hearts
Page 1 of 6

Ferencvaros

(Away)
01 Nov
Ferencvaros
2 : 0
Paks
28 Oct
Bicskei
1 : 4
Ferencvaros
25 Oct
Ferencvaros
5 : 0
MTK Budapest
22 Oct
Ferencvaros
4 : 1
Torreense
18 Oct
Kisvarda FC
1 : 1
Ferencvaros
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Benfica 4 4 0 0 13:3 12
2 Bournemouth 4 4 0 0 11:2 12
3 Ferencvaros 4 4 0 0 11:3 12
4 Royale Union SG 4 3 1 0 10:2 10
5 Juventus 4 3 1 0 11:4 10
6 Olympiacos Piraeus 4 3 1 0 4:1 10
7 Bayer Leverkusen 4 3 0 1 8:1 9
8 Besiktas 4 2 1 1 11:8 7
9 Din. Zagreb 4 2 1 1 5:4 7
10 Levski Sofia 4 2 1 1 4:3 7
11 Sunderland 4 2 1 1 4:4 7
12 Nijmegen 4 2 1 1 8:9 7
13 Lyon 4 2 1 1 6:7 7
14 AZ Alkmaar 4 2 0 2 7:4 6
15 Anderlecht 4 2 0 2 6:3 6
16 OFI Crete 4 2 0 2 5:4 6
17 Rennes 4 1 3 0 4:3 6
18 Omonia 4 2 0 2 6:7 6
19 Torreense 4 2 0 2 7:9 6
20 Real Sociedad 4 1 2 1 9:4 5
21 Crystal Palace 4 1 2 1 9:6 5
22 Sparta Prague 4 1 1 2 6:6 4
23 Hoffenheim 4 1 1 2 6:6 4
24 Sturm Graz 4 1 1 2 3:6 4
25 Celje 4 1 1 2 5:9 4
26 Salzburg 4 1 1 2 3:8 4
27 Celta Vigo 4 1 0 3 4:6 3
28 AC Milan 4 1 0 3 4:7 3
29 Jagiellonia 4 1 0 3 4:7 3
30 Plzen 4 1 0 3 3:7 3
31 Marseille 4 1 0 3 2:6 3
32 Celtic 4 1 0 3 6:11 3
33 H. Beer Sheva 4 0 1 3 1:8 1
34 Lillestrom 4 0 1 3 2:10 1
35 Lech Poznan 4 0 1 3 2:12 1
36 Ararat-Armenia 4 0 0 4 4:14 0
Promotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)