Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Celtic vs Utrecht

Europe Europe

Europa League 2025/2026 Celtic Park, Glasgow
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Nygren B.
Assist: Tierney K.
10' Event
Viergever N.
Assist: Nygren B.
Own Goal
19' Event
Engels A.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Europa League 2025/2026 game between Celtic and Utrecht finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Celtic.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Celtic
33%
Draws
27%
Utrecht
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Celtic

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Celtic come out ahead of Utrecht on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Celtic's way, sitting at 40%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Europa League 2025/2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Celtic here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Celtic Clean Sheet 16%
Utrecht Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Celtic Utrecht
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 20 12
Draws 5 4
Losses 4 13
Goals Scored 2.38 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 29, 2026 Europa League
Celtic vs Utrecht
4:2
Aug 26, 2010 Europa League
Utrecht vs Celtic
4:0
Aug 19, 2010 Europa League
Celtic vs Utrecht
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Celtic Compare

Top Goalscorer Nygren B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Trusty A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Utrecht Compare

Top Goalscorer de Wit D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Blake A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Celtic 39 / 100
Utrecht 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Celtic Utrecht

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CEL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Celtic scored in 97% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Utrecht let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Solid form: Celtic remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Celtic VS Utrecht
2.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Celtic

(Home)
18 Jul
Celtic
1 : 1
Middlesbrough
14 Jul
Sporting CP
4 : 1
Celtic
07 Jul
Shelbourne
1 : 1
Celtic
23 May
Celtic
3 : 1
Dunfermline
16 May
Celtic
3 : 1
Hearts
Page 1 of 6

Utrecht

(Away)
17 Jul
Utrecht
3 : 2
V-Varen Nagasaki
07 Jul
Utrecht
0 : 1
Apollon Limassol
27 Jun
Utrecht
1 : 2
De Graafschap
24 May
Ajax
2 : 1
Utrecht
21 May
Utrecht
3 : 2
Heerenveen
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Lyon870118:521
2Aston Villa870114:621
3Midtjylland861118:819
4Betis852113:717
5FC Porto852113:717
6Braga852111:517
7Freiburg852110:417
8AS Roma851213:616
9Genk851211:716
10Bologna843114:715
11VfB Stuttgart850315:915
12Ferencvaros843112:1115
13Nottingham842215:714
14Plzen83508:314
15Crvena zvezda84227:614
16Celta Vigo841315:1113
17PAOK833217:1412
18Lille840412:912
19Fenerbahce833210:712
20Panathinaikos833211:912
21Celtic832313:1511
22Ludogorets831412:1510
23Din. Zagreb831412:1610
24Brann82339:119
25Young Boys830510:169
26Sturm Graz82155:117
27FCSB82159:167
28G.A. Eagles82156:147
29Feyenoord820611:156
30Basel82069:136
31Salzburg820610:156
32Rangers81165:144
33Nice81077:153
34Utrecht80175:151
35Malmo FF80174:151
36Maccabi Tel Aviv80172:221
Promotion - Europa League 2025/2026 (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Europa League 2025/2026 (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)