Sport Picks
Celtic vs VfB Stuttgart
Europe
Europa League 2025/2026 Celtic Park, Glasgow 
Match Events
15'
15'
El Khannouss B.
Assist: Undav D.
21'
21'
Nygren B.
28'
28'
El Khannouss B.
Assist: Stiller A.
AI Match Summary
VfB Stuttgart in this Europa League 2025/2026 tie, finishing 1-4. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
27%
30%
43%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: VfB Stuttgart
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
43%
/ Low Confidence
- VfB Stuttgart haven't matched Celtic's recent run of results.
- VfB Stuttgart are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Celtic have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor VfB Stuttgart, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Celtic Clean Sheet 10%
VfB Stuttgart Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Celtic | VfB Stuttgart |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 20 | 16 |
| Draws | 5 | 6 |
| Losses | 4 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 2.17 | 2.62 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.34 | 1.34 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 2.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 26, 2026 Europa League
VfB Stuttgart vs Celtic
0:1
Feb 19, 2026 Europa League
Celtic vs VfB Stuttgart
1:4
Feb 27, 2003 Europa League
VfB Stuttgart vs Celtic
3:2
Feb 20, 2003 Europa League
Celtic vs VfB Stuttgart
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Celtic Compare
Top Goalscorer Nygren B.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
VfB Stuttgart Compare
Top Goalscorer El Khannouss B.
2 Goals Assists Leader Leweling J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.45
Avg xA / game 1.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Celtic 10 / 100
VfB Stuttgart 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Celtic VfB Stuttgart
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick STU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Celtic scored in 97% of their last 29 outings.
H2H data points to 3.75 goals as a typical output.
VfB Stuttgart let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.
Solid form: Celtic remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Celtic VS VfB Stuttgart
2.13 Goals Scored 3.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
75% Over 3.5 88%
Recent Form & Match History
Celtic
(Home) 09 Aug
Kilmarnock
1 : 5 Celtic
03 Aug
Celtic
1 : 0 Dundee FC
25 Jul
Celtic
2 : 2 AC Milan
18 Jul
Celtic
1 : 1 Middlesbrough
14 Jul
Sporting CP
4 : 1 Celtic
Page 1 of 6
03 Aug
Celtic
1 : 0 Dundee FC
25 Jul
Celtic
2 : 2 AC Milan
18 Jul
Celtic
1 : 1 Middlesbrough
23 May
Celtic
3 : 1 Dunfermline
16 May
Celtic
3 : 1 Hearts
Page 1 of 4
VfB Stuttgart
(Away) 08 Aug
VfB Stuttgart
3 : 1 Everton
01 Aug
VfB Stuttgart
2 : 2 Paris FC
29 Jul
Kickers Offenbach
1 : 8 VfB Stuttgart
25 Jul
Hollenbach
0 : 5 VfB Stuttgart
19 Jul
Balingen
0 : 7 VfB Stuttgart
Page 1 of 6
29 Jul
Kickers Offenbach
1 : 8 VfB Stuttgart
25 Jul
Hollenbach
0 : 5 VfB Stuttgart
19 Jul
Balingen
0 : 7 VfB Stuttgart
23 May
Bayern Munich
3 : 0 VfB Stuttgart
16 May
Eintracht Frankfurt
2 : 2 VfB Stuttgart
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Ludogorets 2
Ferencvaros 3
Braga -
TBD -
Panathinaikos 4
Plzen 3
Betis -
TBD -
Din. Zagreb 4
Genk 6
Freiburg -
TBD -
PAOK 1
Celta Vigo 3
Lyon -
TBD -
Celtic 2
VfB Stuttgart 4
FC Porto -
TBD -
Fenerbahce 2
Nottingham 4
Midtjylland -
TBD -
Brann 0
Bologna 2
AS Roma -
TBD -
Lille 2
Crvena zvezda 1
Aston Villa -
TBD -
1/8-finals
Ferencvaros 2
Braga 4
Panathinaikos 1
Betis 4
Genk 2
Freiburg 5
Celta Vigo 3
Lyon 1
VfB Stuttgart 1
FC Porto 4
Nottingham 3
Midtjylland 2
Bologna 5
AS Roma 4
Lille 0
Aston Villa 3
Quarter-finals
Braga 5
Betis 3
Freiburg 6
Celta Vigo 1
FC Porto 1
Nottingham 2
Bologna 1
Aston Villa 7
Semi-finals
Braga 3
Freiburg 4
Nottingham 1
Aston Villa 4
Final
Freiburg 0
Aston Villa 3
