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Celtic W vs Hearts W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

SWPL 1 Women New Douglas Park, Hamilton
Wed, Oct 21, 2026
VS
06:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Celtic W host Hearts W in the SWPL 1 Women. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Hearts W have shipped 1.24 goals a game lately, while Celtic W have conceded 1.44 and scored 2.13. Head-to-head, Celtic W have won 3 to Hearts W's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on May 10, 2026, ending 1:2. Model xG sits at 1.31 vs 1.88, favoring Celtic W. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Celtic W
20%
Draws
32%
Hearts W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Celtic W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Hearts W come out ahead of Celtic W on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular SWPL 1 Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Celtic W Clean Sheet 10%
Hearts W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Celtic W Hearts W
Matches Played 32 33
Wins 20 21
Draws 5 3
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 2.13 3.33
Goals Conceded 1.44 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 SWPL 1 Women
Celtic W vs Hearts W
1:2
Apr 1, 2026 SWPL 1 Women
Hearts W vs Celtic W
4:1
Feb 22, 2026 SWPL 1 Women
Celtic W vs Hearts W
5:3
Feb 15, 2026 Scottish Cup Women
Hearts W vs Celtic W
3:4
Aug 17, 2025 SWPL 1 Women
Hearts W vs Celtic W
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Celtic W 29 / 100
Hearts W 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Celtic W Hearts W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Celtic W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Celtic W found the back of the net in 91% of recent matches (32 games).

H2H data points to 5.20 goals as a typical output.

Hearts W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 33 matches.

Recent resilience: Celtic W stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Celtic W VS Hearts W
1.88 Goals Scored 2.75
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Celtic W

(Home)
04 Oct
Celtic W
4 : 0
Spartans W
27 Sept
Rangers W
5 : 2
Celtic W
18 Sept
Celtic W
1 : 0
Motherwell W
13 Sept
Celtic W
1 : 0
Spartans W
06 Sept
Partick W
2 : 3
Celtic W
Page 1 of 7

Hearts W

(Away)
04 Oct
Hibernian W
2 : 3
Hearts W
30 Sept
Real Sociedad W
4 : 0
Hearts W
27 Sept
Hearts W
2 : 2
Glasgow City W
23 Sept
Hearts W
0 : 0
Real Sociedad W
20 Sept
Spartans W
0 : 1
Hearts W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rangers W 7 7 0 0 26:4 21
2 Celtic W 7 6 0 1 17:8 18
3 Hearts W 7 5 1 1 24:7 16
4 Glasgow City W 7 4 2 1 22:8 14
5 Hibernian W 7 4 1 2 22:9 13
6 Partick W 7 2 1 4 11:14 7
7 Spartans W 7 2 1 4 6:21 7
8 Motherwell W 7 2 0 5 4:19 6
9 Aberdeen W 7 0 0 7 2:21 0
10 Montrose W 7 0 0 7 6:29 0
Promotion - SWPL 1 Women (Championship Group)
Relegation - SWPL 1 Women (Relegation Group)