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Celtic W vs Kilwinning SC W

Scotland Scotland

SWPL Cup Women 2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Celtic W enters this SWPL Cup Women 2013 fixture as the clear favorite, carrying a strong win probability of 74%. Celtic W averages 2.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded in recent matches. Kilwinning SC W shows a form average of 1.0 goals scored and 5.6 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 2 wins for Celtic W, 0 wins for Kilwinning SC W, and 0 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 30.04.13 ended in a 3:0 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.92 for Celtic W and 1.38 for Kilwinning SC W, suggesting the primary value lies in the Celtic W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

74%
Celtic W
15%
Draws
11%
Kilwinning SC W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Celtic W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Celtic W picked up more points recently compared to Kilwinning SC W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.92 vs 1.38 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 95%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 47%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 60%
Celtic W Clean Sheet 17%
Kilwinning SC W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 86%
Second Half Goal 90%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Celtic W Kilwinning SC W
Matches Played 32 24
Wins 18 3
Draws 6 1
Losses 8 20
Goals Scored 2.59 1
Goals Conceded 1.41 5.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

30.04.13 SWPL 1 Women
Celtic W vs Kilwinning SC W
3:0
03.03.13 SWPL Cup Women
Celtic W vs Kilwinning SC W
10:0

Tactical Matchup Profile

Field Positions & Control Styles

Celtic W

Pressing Intensity Aggressive press (PPDA < 9.5)
Attacking Style Keep the ball
Wing Attack Frequency A lot of crosses
Defensive Alignment Push high up (Offside trap)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Kilwinning SC W

Pressing Intensity Medium Block
Attacking Style Quick counter-attacks
Wing Attack Frequency Play through the middle
Defensive Alignment Push high up (Offside trap)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Celtic W 70 / 100
Kilwinning SC W 12 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Celtic W Kilwinning SC W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Celtic W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Celtic W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +12.5%
1.52
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.2%
1.37
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Expected Match Flow Timeline

Dominance and pressure projections by 15-minute intervals

0' - 15' Dominance Index

Celtic W is expected to start with high intensity, putting pressure on the visitors early.

Celtic W 81%
Kilwinning SC W 9%
15' - 30' Dominance Index

Kilwinning SC W will try to absorb the pressure and slow down the tempo of Celtic W's attacks.

Celtic W 70%
Kilwinning SC W 12%
30' - 45' Dominance Index

Expect Celtic W to create chances through sustained possession before the break.

Celtic W 74%
Kilwinning SC W 11%
45' - 60' Dominance Index

Tactical adjustments at half-time will see Celtic W vary their attacking width.

Celtic W 78%
Kilwinning SC W 10%
60' - 75' Dominance Index

Fatigue may set in for Kilwinning SC W, allowing Celtic W's midfield to exploit vertical gaps.

Celtic W 67%
Kilwinning SC W 12%
75' - 90' Dominance Index

Expect a final offensive push from Celtic W, while Kilwinning SC W takes risks to salvage a result.

Celtic W 85%
Kilwinning SC W 13%

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Celtic W attacking → ← attacking Kilwinning SC W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Celtic W have found the net in 91% of their last 32 matches.

Kilwinning SC W have conceded at least one goal in 100% of their last 23 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 6.50 goals per match.

Celtic W remained undefeated in 3 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Kilwinning SC W suffered defeat in 4 of their last 5 overall games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low
Risk Factor

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Risk Factor

Knockout cup fixture where progress is the sole objective; expect high motivation and potential extra time drama.

Risk Factor

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

60 Points in last 5 10
2.63 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00