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Celtiga vs Alondras - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
03:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Celtiga host Alondras in the Tercera RFEF - Group 1. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Celtiga have averaged 1.17 scored and 1.41 conceded recently, against Alondras's 1.41 scored and 1.38 conceded. Past meetings favor Alondras slightly — 0-5-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 5, 2026, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 1.44 vs 2.13, favoring Alondras. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Celtiga
20%
Draws
51%
Alondras
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Alondras

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Alondras come out ahead of Celtiga on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Alondras have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Celtiga Clean Sheet 10%
Alondras Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Celtiga Alondras
Matches Played 29 34
Wins 7 13
Draws 8 8
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.17 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Celtiga vs Alondras
0:1
Nov 23, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Alondras vs Celtiga
1:0
May 12, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Alondras vs Celtiga
2:0
Dec 23, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Celtiga vs Alondras
1:3
May 1, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Celtiga vs Alondras
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Celtiga 30 / 100
Alondras 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Celtiga Alondras

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Celtiga found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Alondras conceded in 68% of 34 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Recent resilience: Celtiga stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Celtiga VS Alondras
1.13 Goals Scored 1.88
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Celtiga

(Home)
04 Oct
Viveiro
0 : 0
Celtiga
27 Sept
Celtiga
2 : 0
Estradense
19 Sept
Racing Club Villalbes
3 : 2
Celtiga
12 Sept
Celtiga
0 : 2
CD Boiro
06 Sept
Silva SD
1 : 1
Celtiga
Page 1 of 6

Alondras

(Away)
03 Oct
Alondras
0 : 1
Montaneros
26 Sept
Atletico Arteixo
2 : 4
Alondras
20 Sept
Alondras
2 : 0
Sarriana
13 Sept
Antela
0 : 2
Alondras
05 Sept
Alondras
2 : 6
Pontevedra B
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Boiro 5 3 1 1 10:6 10
2 Barco 5 3 1 1 6:4 10
3 Lalin 5 3 1 1 5:3 10
4 Antela 5 3 1 1 5:4 10
5 Sarriana 5 3 0 2 9:7 9
6 Racing Club Villalbes 5 2 3 0 7:5 9
7 Alondras 5 3 0 2 10:9 9
8 Pontevedra B 5 2 1 2 9:6 7
9 Portonovo SD 5 2 1 2 7:6 7
10 Gran Pena 5 2 1 2 8:8 7
11 Estradense 5 2 1 2 8:9 7
12 Celtiga 5 1 2 2 5:6 5
13 Somozas 5 1 2 2 3:4 5
14 Atletico Arteixo 5 1 2 2 6:8 5
15 Silva SD 5 1 2 2 5:8 5
16 Viveiro 5 1 1 3 2:5 4
17 Arenteiro 5 1 0 4 4:7 3
18 Montaneros 5 1 0 4 7:11 3
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 1 (Play Offs)