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Celtiga vs Barco - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Celtiga host Barco in the Tercera RFEF - Group 1. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Recent numbers: Celtiga at 1.14 goals for, 1.48 against; Barco at 1.34 for, 1.14 against. Past meetings favor Barco slightly — 2-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 22, 2026, ending 3:5. The numbers (1.00 xG vs 1.00) point toward Barco. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Celtiga
35%
Draws
37%
Barco
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Barco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Celtiga haven't matched Barco's recent run of results.
  • 37% — that's where the model lands on Barco taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Celtiga Clean Sheet 20%
Barco Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Celtiga Barco
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 14
Draws 10 6
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1.14 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Celtiga vs Barco
3:5
Oct 5, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Barco vs Celtiga
2:1
Mar 2, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Barco vs Celtiga
1:2
Oct 7, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Celtiga vs Barco
0:2
Apr 15, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Celtiga vs Barco
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Celtiga 28 / 100
Barco 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Celtiga Barco

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Barco Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.

Celtiga's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Celtiga went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Barco conceded in 55% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Celtiga VS Barco
1 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Celtiga

(Home)
01 Nov
Arenteiro
2 : 0
Celtiga
24 Oct
Celtiga
1 : 1
Somozas
18 Oct
Gran Pena
1 : 2
Celtiga
11 Oct
Celtiga
0 : 0
Alondras
04 Oct
Viveiro
0 : 0
Celtiga
Page 1 of 6

Barco

(Away)
31 Oct
Barco
4 : 0
Montaneros
25 Oct
Atletico Arteixo
2 : 1
Barco
18 Oct
Barco
1 : 1
Sarriana
11 Oct
Antela
1 : 1
Barco
04 Oct
Barco
1 : 0
Pontevedra B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Boiro 9 6 2 1 14:7 20
2 Barco 9 4 3 2 13:8 15
3 Sarriana 9 4 3 2 15:12 15
4 Lalin 9 4 3 2 9:8 15
5 Racing Club Villalbes 9 3 5 1 11:9 14
6 Estradense 9 4 2 3 15:15 14
7 Silva SD 9 4 2 3 13:13 14
8 Pontevedra B 9 4 1 4 13:9 13
9 Atletico Arteixo 9 3 4 2 15:14 13
10 Antela 9 3 4 2 8:8 13
11 Portonovo SD 9 3 3 3 11:10 12
12 Alondras 9 3 3 3 12:12 12
13 Arenteiro 9 3 1 5 12:13 10
14 Celtiga 9 2 4 3 8:10 10
15 Montaneros 9 3 0 6 12:19 9
16 Somozas 9 1 5 3 8:10 8
17 Gran Pena 9 2 1 6 10:15 7
18 Viveiro 9 1 2 6 5:12 5
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 1 (Play Offs)