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Celtiga vs CD Boiro

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Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
50' Event
Landeira G.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 1 game between Celtiga and CD Boiro finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CD Boiro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Celtiga
20%
Draws
73%
CD Boiro
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CD Boiro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and CD Boiro come out ahead of Celtiga on wins alone.
  • CD Boiro are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Celtiga Clean Sheet 10%
CD Boiro Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Celtiga CD Boiro
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 12
Draws 7 10
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 1.31 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.41 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Celtiga vs CD Boiro
0:2
Apr 2, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
CD Boiro vs Celtiga
1:1
Oct 12, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Celtiga vs CD Boiro
0:3
Mar 10, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Celtiga vs CD Boiro
2:0
Oct 14, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
CD Boiro vs Celtiga
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Celtiga Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

CD Boiro Compare

Top Goalscorer Landeira G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Celtiga 10 / 100
CD Boiro 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Celtiga CD Boiro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Boiro Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Celtiga's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

CD Boiro's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Solid form: Celtiga remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Celtiga VS CD Boiro
1.13 Goals Scored 2
2 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Celtiga

(Home)
12 Sept
Celtiga
0 : 2
CD Boiro
06 Sept
Silva SD
1 : 1
Celtiga
10 May
Arosa SC
3 : 2
Celtiga
01 May
Celtiga
2 : 3
Atletico Arteixo
25 Apr
Noia
3 : 0
Celtiga
Page 1 of 6

CD Boiro

(Away)
12 Sept
Celtiga
0 : 2
CD Boiro
06 Sept
CD Boiro
3 : 2
Montaneros
10 May
Somozas
2 : 2
CD Boiro
03 May
CD Boiro
3 : 1
Montaneros
26 Apr
Arosa SC
1 : 0
CD Boiro
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Boiro 2 2 0 0 5:2 6
2 Racing Club Villalbes 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
3 Silva SD 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
4 Pontevedra B 2 1 0 1 7:4 3
5 Sarriana 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
6 Lalin 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
7 Antela 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
8 Gran Pena 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
9 Barco 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
10 Atletico Arteixo 2 0 2 0 1:1 2
11 Somozas 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
12 Portonovo SD 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
13 Estradense 2 0 1 1 2:4 1
14 Celtiga 2 0 1 1 1:3 1
15 Arenteiro 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
16 Viveiro 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
17 Montaneros 2 0 0 2 4:6 0
18 Alondras 1 0 0 1 2:6 0
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 1 (Play Offs)