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Celtiga vs CD Castro

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Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 game between Celtiga and CD Castro finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Celtiga.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Celtiga
20%
Draws
40%
CD Castro
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Celtiga come out ahead of CD Castro on wins alone.
  • Celtiga are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Celtiga Clean Sheet 20%
CD Castro Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Celtiga CD Castro
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 11 8
Draws 7 6
Losses 13 16
Goals Scored 1.42 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 14, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Celtiga vs CD Castro
3:0
Dec 18, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
CD Castro vs Celtiga
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Celtiga 40 / 100
CD Castro 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Celtiga CD Castro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Celtiga Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Castro let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Celtiga's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: CD Castro registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Celtiga VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Celtiga

(Home)
12 Sept
Celtiga
0 : 2
CD Boiro
06 Sept
Silva SD
1 : 1
Celtiga
10 May
Arosa SC
3 : 2
Celtiga
01 May
Celtiga
2 : 3
Atletico Arteixo
25 Apr
Noia
3 : 0
Celtiga
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CD Castro

(Away)
14 May
Celtiga
3 : 0
CD Castro
07 May
CD Castro
0 : 1
Ribadumia
30 Apr
Deportivo Fabril
4 : 1
CD Castro
23 Apr
CD Castro
1 : 1
Barbadas-Bentraces
16 Apr
SD Negreira
1 : 0
CD Castro
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