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Celtiga vs Cerceda

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Celtiga
30%
Draws
47%
Cerceda
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cerceda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Celtiga have won more games recently than Cerceda.
  • Model gives Celtiga a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Celtiga Clean Sheet 20%
Cerceda Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Celtiga Cerceda
Matches Played 34 35
Wins 13 6
Draws 7 8
Losses 14 21
Goals Scored 1.47 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 25, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Celtiga vs Cerceda
1:1
Nov 6, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Cerceda vs Celtiga
2:1
Jan 13, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Celtiga vs Cerceda
0:1
Aug 26, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Cerceda vs Celtiga
0:0
Jan 24, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Cerceda vs Celtiga
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Celtiga 36 / 100
Cerceda 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Celtiga Cerceda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cerceda has conceded goals in 89% of their last 35 outings.

Attacking prowess: Celtiga scored in 74% of their last 34 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Cerceda lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Celtiga VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Celtiga

(Home)
12 Sept
Celtiga
0 : 2
CD Boiro
06 Sept
Silva SD
1 : 1
Celtiga
10 May
Arosa SC
3 : 2
Celtiga
01 May
Celtiga
2 : 3
Atletico Arteixo
25 Apr
Noia
3 : 0
Celtiga
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Cerceda

(Away)
13 May
Cerceda
0 : 2
CF Talavera
06 May
Deportivo Fabril
1 : 0
Cerceda
29 Apr
Cerceda
1 : 1
Ponferradina
22 Apr
Coruxo FC
3 : 2
Cerceda
14 Apr
Cerceda
1 : 1
Rayo Majadahonda
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