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Celtiga vs Santa Comba

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Tercera Division - Group 1 2009/2010
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 1 2009/2010 game between Celtiga and Santa Comba finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Celtiga
30%
Draws
23%
Santa Comba
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Celtiga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Celtiga carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Celtiga's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Celtiga Clean Sheet 20%
Santa Comba Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Celtiga Santa Comba
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 6
Draws 7 10
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1.31 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 10, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Celtiga vs Santa Comba
2:2
Aug 30, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Santa Comba vs Celtiga
0:0
Apr 19, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Santa Comba vs Celtiga
1:0
Nov 30, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Celtiga vs Santa Comba
0:2
Feb 17, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Santa Comba vs Celtiga
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Celtiga 58 / 100
Santa Comba 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Celtiga Santa Comba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Celtiga Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Celtiga scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Santa Comba conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Santa Comba has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Celtiga VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Celtiga

(Home)
27 Sept
Celtiga
2 : 0
Estradense
19 Sept
Racing Club Villalbes
3 : 2
Celtiga
12 Sept
Celtiga
0 : 2
CD Boiro
06 Sept
Silva SD
1 : 1
Celtiga
10 May
Arosa SC
3 : 2
Celtiga
Page 1 of 6

Santa Comba

(Away)
15 May
Santa Comba
1 : 1
CD AS Pontes
08 May
Villalonga
1 : 1
Santa Comba
01 May
Santa Comba
0 : 2
Cerceda
24 Apr
SD Negreira
1 : 0
Santa Comba
16 Apr
Santa Comba
1 : 2
SD Ordenes
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Deportivo Fabril 36 26 4 6 65:33 82
2 Cerceda 36 21 7 8 52:29 70
3 CD Ourense 36 19 11 6 70:34 68
4 Coruxo FC 36 17 13 6 54:32 64
5 Naron 36 18 5 13 49:45 59
6 Alondras 36 14 12 10 48:38 54
7 SD Ordenes 36 15 8 13 46:43 53
8 SD Negreira 36 14 9 13 41:37 51
9 Racing Club Villalbes 36 12 12 12 36:37 48
10 Rapido de Bouzas 36 12 11 13 37:35 47
11 Santa Comba 36 13 7 16 44:48 46
12 Villalonga 36 11 11 14 36:39 44
13 CD Cultural Areas 36 11 11 14 34:50 44
14 Bergantinos 36 11 9 16 30:49 42
15 Pontevedra B 36 11 7 18 44:47 40
16 Somozas 36 11 6 19 40:56 39
17 Lalin 36 9 11 16 38:51 38
18 Celtiga 36 8 12 16 37:45 36
19 Verin CF 36 3 6 27 26:79 15
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2009/2010 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2009/2010 (Main)