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Celtiga vs Somozas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Our Tip

Match Events

80' Event
Nunokawa G.
84' Event
Alonso O.
Own Goal
90'
Danes J.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 1 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Celtiga
35%
Draws
32%
Somozas
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Somozas lately — more wins on the board than Celtiga.
  • Win probability leans Celtiga's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Celtiga Clean Sheet 68%
Somozas Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Celtiga Somozas
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 6 8
Draws 10 13
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1.14 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 24, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Celtiga vs Somozas
1:1
Feb 1, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Somozas vs Celtiga
1:1
Sep 13, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Celtiga vs Somozas
5:0
Apr 18, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Celtiga vs Somozas
2:0
Nov 25, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Somozas vs Celtiga
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Celtiga Compare

Top Goalscorer Nunokawa G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Somozas Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Celtiga 68 / 100
Somozas 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Celtiga Somozas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Celtiga Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Somozas has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Celtiga's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Celtiga remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Celtiga VS Somozas
1 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Celtiga

(Home)
01 Nov
Arenteiro
2 : 0
Celtiga
24 Oct
Celtiga
1 : 1
Somozas
18 Oct
Gran Pena
1 : 2
Celtiga
11 Oct
Celtiga
0 : 0
Alondras
04 Oct
Viveiro
0 : 0
Celtiga
Page 1 of 6

Somozas

(Away)
01 Nov
Somozas
1 : 1
CD Boiro
24 Oct
Celtiga
1 : 1
Somozas
18 Oct
Somozas
1 : 2
Montaneros
10 Oct
Atletico Arteixo
2 : 2
Somozas
04 Oct
Somozas
2 : 1
Sarriana
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Boiro 9 6 2 1 14:7 20
2 Barco 9 4 3 2 13:8 15
3 Sarriana 9 4 3 2 15:12 15
4 Lalin 9 4 3 2 9:8 15
5 Racing Club Villalbes 9 3 5 1 11:9 14
6 Estradense 9 4 2 3 15:15 14
7 Silva SD 9 4 2 3 13:13 14
8 Pontevedra B 9 4 1 4 13:9 13
9 Atletico Arteixo 9 3 4 2 15:14 13
10 Antela 9 3 4 2 8:8 13
11 Portonovo SD 9 3 3 3 11:10 12
12 Alondras 9 3 3 3 12:12 12
13 Arenteiro 9 3 1 5 12:13 10
14 Celtiga 9 2 4 3 8:10 10
15 Montaneros 9 3 0 6 12:19 9
16 Somozas 9 1 5 3 8:10 8
17 Gran Pena 9 2 1 6 10:15 7
18 Viveiro 9 1 2 6 5:12 5
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 1 (Play Offs)