Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cenicero vs CDFC La Calzada - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cenicero host CDFC La Calzada in the Tercera RFEF - Group 16. CDFC La Calzada are expected to control this from the start. Recent numbers: Cenicero at 0.45 goals for, 2.34 against; CDFC La Calzada at 1.23 for, 1.52 against. Past meetings favor CDFC La Calzada slightly — 0-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 27, 2022, ending 4:0. xG projections (1.31 - 1.15) back CDFC La Calzada to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Cenicero
20%
Draws
56%
CDFC La Calzada
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CDFC La Calzada

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and CDFC La Calzada come out ahead of Cenicero on wins alone.
  • CDFC La Calzada are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 33.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Cenicero Clean Sheet 20%
CDFC La Calzada Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cenicero CDFC La Calzada
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 2 11
Draws 4 6
Losses 23 14
Goals Scored 0.45 1.23
Goals Conceded 2.34 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.15
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 27, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
CDFC La Calzada vs Cenicero
4:0
Nov 14, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Cenicero vs CDFC La Calzada
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cenicero 24 / 100
CDFC La Calzada 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cenicero CDFC La Calzada

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CDFC La Calzada Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CDFC La Calzada has conceded goals in 71% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Cenicero remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Cenicero found the back of the net in 38% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

Cenicero VS CDFC La Calzada
1 Goals Scored 1.13
1.17 Goals Conceded 1.63
67% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
17% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Cenicero

(Home)
03 Oct
Yague
2 : 1
Cenicero
26 Sept
River Ebro
3 : 2
Cenicero
20 Sept
Cenicero
2 : 1
Berceo
13 Sept
Comillas CF
0 : 0
Cenicero
06 Sept
Cenicero
1 : 1
Varea
Page 1 of 6

CDFC La Calzada

(Away)
04 Oct
CDFC La Calzada
1 : 0
Comillas CF
27 Sept
Varea
1 : 0
CDFC La Calzada
20 Sept
CDFC La Calzada
3 : 2
Vianes
13 Sept
Casalarreina CF
0 : 3
CDFC La Calzada
06 Sept
CDFC La Calzada
2 : 1
CD Calahorra
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Haro Deportivo 5 4 1 0 12:6 13
2 Berceo 5 4 0 1 14:5 12
3 CDFC La Calzada 5 4 0 1 9:4 12
4 Alfaro 5 3 1 1 9:7 10
5 Pradejon 6 3 1 2 9:7 10
6 CD Calahorra 5 3 0 2 14:7 9
7 Agoncillo 5 2 2 1 12:8 8
8 Anguiano 6 2 2 2 8:6 8
9 Oyonesa 6 2 2 2 7:8 8
10 Varea 5 1 4 0 4:3 7
11 San Marcial 5 1 3 1 4:4 6
12 Yague 6 2 0 4 5:11 6
13 Cenicero 5 1 2 2 6:7 5
14 Comillas CF 6 1 2 3 4:7 5
15 Calasancio 5 1 2 2 7:12 5
16 River Ebro 6 1 1 4 6:15 4
17 Casalarreina CF 5 1 0 4 4:12 3
18 Vianes 5 0 1 4 5:10 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 16 (Play Offs)