Sport Picks

World

Friendly International 2024 Colombo Racecourse

Bhutan

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Central Africa play Bhutan in the Friendly International 2024. Central Africa are favorites here. Recently, Central Africa averaged 1.07 goals scored and 1.78 conceded. Bhutan averaged 0.55 goals scored and 2.66 conceded. In past meetings, Central Africa won 1, Bhutan won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 22, 2024 ended 6:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.19 for Central Africa and 0.98 for Bhutan. This points to a Central Africa double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

62%

Central Africa

15%

Draws

23%

Bhutan

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Central Africa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence

Central Africa picked up more points recently compared to Bhutan.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.19 vs 0.98 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 77%

Over 2.5 Goals 53%

Over 3.5 Goals 32%

Over 4.5 Goals 16%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33%

Central Africa Clean Sheet 23%

Bhutan Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 69%

Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Central Africa	Bhutan
Matches Played	27	29
Wins	7	5
Draws	5	2
Losses	15	22
Goals Scored	1.07	0.55
Goals Conceded	1.78	2.66
Expected Goals (xG)	0.38	0.71
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	4.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2024 Friendly International

Central Africa vs Bhutan

Possession: 42% - 59% Cards: 3 - 3

6:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Central Africa Compare

Top Goalscorer Baboula V.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Namnganda K.

2 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.29

Avg xA / game 0.19

Bhutan Compare

Avg xG / game 0.65

Avg xA / game 0.39

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Central Africa 60 / 100

Bhutan 23 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Central Africa Bhutan

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Central Africa Win (1)

Secondary Pick Central Africa & Over 2.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +14.7%

1.85

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.9%

2.13

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Central Africa attacking → ← attacking Bhutan

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Central Africa scored in 44% of their last 27 games.

Bhutan let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Central Africa went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Bhutan lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

26 Points in last 5 17

0.38 Goals expected (xG) 0.71

1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 4.00