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Central Coast vs Newcastle Jets

Australia Australia

A-League Central Coast Stadium (Polytec), Gosford
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
08:40 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Central Coast host Newcastle Jets in the A-League. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Central Coast have averaged 1.31 scored and 1.69 conceded recently, against Newcastle Jets's 2.03 scored and 1.55 conceded. Head-to-head, Central Coast have won 1 to Newcastle Jets's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Apr 25, 2026, ending 4:0. The numbers (1.25 xG vs 2.00) point toward Newcastle Jets. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Central Coast
30%
Draws
39%
Newcastle Jets
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Newcastle Jets

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Central Coast haven't matched Newcastle Jets's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Newcastle Jets a 39% chance of winning this.
  • Regular A-League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Central Coast Clean Sheet 10%
Newcastle Jets Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Central Coast Newcastle Jets
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 15
Draws 8 4
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.31 2.03
Goals Conceded 1.69 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 A-League
Newcastle Jets vs Central Coast
4:0
Feb 28, 2026 A-League
Central Coast vs Newcastle Jets
0:0
Oct 19, 2025 A-League
Central Coast vs Newcastle Jets
3:2
Apr 12, 2025 A-League
Newcastle Jets vs Central Coast
6:0
Feb 1, 2025 A-League
Central Coast vs Newcastle Jets
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Central Coast 18 / 100
Newcastle Jets 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Central Coast Newcastle Jets

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Newcastle Jets Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Newcastle Jets's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Central Coast scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Solid form: Central Coast remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Central Coast VS Newcastle Jets
1.13 Goals Scored 1.88
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Central Coast

(Home)
09 Sept
Vanuatu United
3 : 2
Central Coast
22 Jul
Sydney Utd
2 : 1
Central Coast
25 Apr
Newcastle Jets
4 : 0
Central Coast
19 Apr
Auckland FC
0 : 1
Central Coast
10 Apr
Central Coast
2 : 2
Brisbane Roar
Page 1 of 6

Newcastle Jets

(Away)
21 Jul
Preston Lions
3 : 2
Newcastle Jets
16 May
Newcastle Jets
1 : 2
Sydney FC
09 May
Sydney FC
1 : 1
Newcastle Jets
25 Apr
Newcastle Jets
4 : 0
Central Coast
17 Apr
Melbourne Victory
2 : 2
Newcastle Jets
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Adelaide Utd 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Central Coast 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Newcastle Jets 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Perth Glory 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Brisbane Roar 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 Sydney FC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 Wellington Phoenix 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 Melbourne Victory 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Melbourne City 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 Western Sydney Wanderers 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 Macarthur FC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 Auckland FC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - A-League (Play Offs)
Promotion - A-League (Play Offs)