Sport Picks
Central Coast vs Wellington Phoenix
Australia
A-League 2025/2026 Central Coast Stadium (Polytec), Gosford 
Match Events
4'
4'
Eze I.
18'
18'
Sub
Ishige H. In: Cassidy A.
Out: Ishige H.
46'
46'
Sub
Conchie F. In: Brooke-Smith L.
Out: Conchie F.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this A-League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
21%
15%
64%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Wellington Phoenix
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Wellington Phoenix lately — more wins on the board than Central Coast.
- 64% — that's where the model lands on Wellington Phoenix taking it.
- Regular A-League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Central Coast Clean Sheet 16%
Wellington Phoenix Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Central Coast | Wellington Phoenix |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 12 |
| Draws | 8 | 6 |
| Losses | 13 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.31 | 1.33 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.66 | 1.77 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Dec 21, 2025 A-League
Wellington Phoenix vs Central Coast
3:1
Nov 2, 2025 A-League
Central Coast vs Wellington Phoenix
1:1
Jan 25, 2025 A-League
Wellington Phoenix vs Central Coast
0:0
Nov 10, 2024 A-League
Central Coast vs Wellington Phoenix
0:3
Apr 6, 2024 A-League
Central Coast vs Wellington Phoenix
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Central Coast Compare
Top Goalscorer James Ngor S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Wellington Phoenix Compare
Top Goalscorer Eze I.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Central Coast 28 / 100
Wellington Phoenix 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Central Coast Wellington Phoenix
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Wellington Phoenix Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Wellington Phoenix's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.
Central Coast scored in 79% of their last 29 games.
These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.
Central Coast went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Central Coast VS Wellington Phoenix
1.38 Goals Scored 1
2 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Central Coast
(Home) 12 Sept
Vanuatu United
1 : 0 Central Coast
09 Sept
Vanuatu United
3 : 2 Central Coast
22 Jul
Sydney Utd
2 : 1 Central Coast
25 Apr
Newcastle Jets
4 : 0 Central Coast
19 Apr
Auckland FC
0 : 1 Central Coast
Page 1 of 6
10 Apr
Central Coast
2 : 2 Brisbane Roar
04 Apr
Central Coast
2 : 2 Perth Glory
14 Mar
Central Coast
1 : 1 Adelaide Utd
28 Feb
Central Coast
0 : 0 Newcastle Jets
22 Feb
Central Coast
3 : 2 Western Sydney Wanderers
Page 1 of 3
Wellington Phoenix
(Away) 24 Apr
Macarthur FC
4 : 0 Wellington Phoenix
18 Apr
Wellington Phoenix
2 : 1 Western Sydney Wanderers
12 Apr
Melbourne City
2 : 0 Wellington Phoenix
05 Apr
Melbourne Victory
0 : 1 Wellington Phoenix
21 Mar
Brisbane Roar
1 : 2 Wellington Phoenix
Page 1 of 6
24 Apr
Macarthur FC
4 : 0 Wellington Phoenix
12 Apr
Melbourne City
2 : 0 Wellington Phoenix
05 Apr
Melbourne Victory
0 : 1 Wellington Phoenix
21 Mar
Brisbane Roar
1 : 2 Wellington Phoenix
06 Mar
Adelaide Utd
1 : 1 Wellington Phoenix
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Newcastle Jets | 26 | 15 | 3 | 8 | 55:39 | 48 |
| 2 | Adelaide Utd | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 46:36 | 43 |
| 3 | Auckland FC | 26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 42:29 | 42 |
| 4 | Melbourne Victory | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 44:33 | 40 |
| 5 | Sydney FC | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 33:25 | 39 |
| 6 | Melbourne City | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 33:33 | 38 |
| 7 | Macarthur FC | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 37:44 | 34 |
| 8 | Wellington Phoenix | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 36:48 | 33 |
| 9 | Central Coast | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 35:42 | 32 |
| 10 | Perth Glory | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 32:39 | 31 |
| 11 | Brisbane Roar | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 27:36 | 26 |
| 12 | Western Sydney Wanderers | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 27:43 | 21 |
Promotion - A-League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - A-League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
