Sport Picks
Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) vs Quilmes
Argentina
Copa Argentina 2025 
Match Events
78'
78'
Machado C.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 0-1, with Quilmes advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
30%
34%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero)
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
66%
/ Medium Confidence
- Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero)'s 0.83 goals per match outpaces what Quilmes have produced (0.38).
- 36% — that's where the model lands on Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) taking it.
- Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
- Historical meetings favor Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero), who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 29%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 8.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 4%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 23.200000000000003%
Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) Clean Sheet 68%
Quilmes Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) | Quilmes |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 7 | 7 |
| Draws | 9 | 11 |
| Losses | 13 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 0.83 | 0.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.17 | 0.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.83 | 0.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.17 | 0.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 23, 2025 Copa Argentina
Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) vs Quilmes
0:1
Apr 2, 2024 Copa Argentina
Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) vs Quilmes
3:1
Sep 15, 2018 Primera Nacional
Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) vs Quilmes
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) Compare
Avg xG / game 0.64
Avg xA / game 0.41
Quilmes Compare
Top Goalscorer Machado C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.21
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) 46 / 100
Quilmes 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) Quilmes
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.
Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) scored in 45% of their last 29 games.
Defensive concern: Quilmes conceded in 54% of 28 recent games.
Recent resilience: Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) VS Quilmes
0.83 Goals Scored 0.38
1.17 Goals Conceded 0.5
33% Over 1.5 25%
33% Over 2.5 13%
17% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero)
(Home) 24 Jul
Gimnasia Mendoza
1 : 0 Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero)
02 May
Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero)
1 : 2 Boca Juniors
24 Apr
Lanus
0 : 0 Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero)
20 Apr
Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero)
4 : 3 Platense
14 Apr
Velez Sarsfield
1 : 0 Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero)
Page 1 of 6
02 May
Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero)
1 : 2 Boca Juniors
20 Apr
Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero)
4 : 3 Platense
05 Apr
Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero)
1 : 3 Newells Old Boys
18 Mar
Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero)
1 : 0 Deportivo Riestra
24 Feb
Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero)
2 : 0 Talleres Cordoba
Page 1 of 3
Quilmes
(Away) 12 Jul
Midland
1 : 0 Quilmes
04 Jul
Quilmes
2 : 1 Atletico Atlanta
20 Jun
Colegiales
3 : 1 Quilmes
13 Jun
Quilmes
1 : 0 Gimnasia y Tiro
07 Jun
San Martin T.
0 : 0 Quilmes
Page 1 of 6
12 Jul
Midland
1 : 0 Quilmes
20 Jun
Colegiales
3 : 1 Quilmes
07 Jun
San Martin T.
0 : 0 Quilmes
24 May
Agropecuario
0 : 0 Quilmes
10 May
Club Atletico Guemes
2 : 1 Quilmes
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
San Lorenzo1
Sportivo Las Parejas0
Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero)0
Quilmes1
Tigre3
Berazategui0
Banfield1
Villa Mitre0
Platense2
Argentino de Quilmes0
Ind. Rivadavia1
CA Estudiantes0
Sarmiento Junin0
Central Cordoba (Rosario)1
Gimnasia L.P.1
Deportivo Espanol0
Racing Club2
Santamarina0
San Martin S.J.1
Gimnasia Jujuy0
Deportivo Riestra3
San Telmo2
Talleres Cordoba3
Deportivo Armenio4
Rosario Central1
Los Andes0
Union de Santa Fe3
Colegiales1
San Martin T.1
Colon Santa Fe0
River Plate2
Ciudad Bolivar0
Boca Juniors5
Argentino MM0
Atl. Tucuman2
All Boys1
Defensa y Justicia3
Racing Cordoba1
Newells Old Boys1
Kimberley0
CA Belgrano de Cordoba3
Real Pilar1
Barracas Central0
Defensores de Belgrano2
Gimnasia Mendoza2
Nueva Chicago0
Independiente2
Sportivo Belgrano0
Estudiantes L.P.2
Sarmiento de La Banda1
Aldosivi2
Gimnasia y Tiro1
Godoy Cruz0
Excursionistas1
Argentinos Jrs3
Central Norte0
Lanus4
General Lamadrid0
Velez Sarsfield1
Midland0
Instituto3
Deportivo Madryn0
Huracan2
San Martin Formosa1
1/16-finals
San Lorenzo1
Quilmes0
Tigre2
Banfield0
Platense2
Ind. Rivadavia3
Central Cordoba (Rosario)2
Gimnasia L.P.1
Racing Club3
San Martin S.J.1
Deportivo Riestra3
Deportivo Armenio2
Rosario Central0
Union de Santa Fe1
San Martin T.0
River Plate3
Boca Juniors1
Atl. Tucuman2
Defensa y Justicia0
Newells Old Boys2
CA Belgrano de Cordoba3
Defensores de Belgrano2
Gimnasia Mendoza1
Independiente2
Estudiantes L.P.1
Aldosivi2
Excursionistas0
Argentinos Jrs3
Lanus2
Velez Sarsfield0
Instituto0
Huracan1
1/8-finals
San Lorenzo0
Tigre1
Ind. Rivadavia2
Central Cordoba (Rosario)1
Racing Club3
Deportivo Riestra0
Union de Santa Fe0
River Plate1
Atl. Tucuman2
Newells Old Boys3
CA Belgrano de Cordoba2
Independiente0
Aldosivi1
Argentinos Jrs2
Lanus2
Huracan0
Quarter-finals
Tigre1
Ind. Rivadavia3
Racing Club0
River Plate1
Newells Old Boys1
CA Belgrano de Cordoba3
Argentinos Jrs1
Lanus0
Semi-finals
Ind. Rivadavia1
River Plate0
CA Belgrano de Cordoba1
Argentinos Jrs2
Final
Ind. Rivadavia3
Argentinos Jrs2