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Central Esp. vs Club Oriental De Futbol - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uruguay Uruguay

Copa Uruguay
Our Tip

Match Events

29'
Madruga A.
32'
38' Event
Motta B.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-1. This leg finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Central Esp.
35%
Draws
52%
Club Oriental De Futbol
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Club Oriental De Futbol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

13% / Low Confidence
  • Club Oriental De Futbol have won more games recently than Central Esp..
  • Central Esp. are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Club Oriental De Futbol arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Central Esp., who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Central Esp. Clean Sheet 68%
Club Oriental De Futbol Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Central Esp. Club Oriental De Futbol
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 9 10
Draws 8 9
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.19 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 17, 2026 Copa Uruguay
Central Esp. vs Club Oriental De Futbol
1:1
Aug 15, 2025 Segunda Division
Club Oriental De Futbol vs Central Esp.
2:3
May 23, 2025 Segunda Division
Central Esp. vs Club Oriental De Futbol
2:1
Oct 27, 2018 Segunda Division
Central Esp. vs Club Oriental De Futbol
3:3
Jun 2, 2018 Segunda Division
Club Oriental De Futbol vs Central Esp.
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Central Esp. Compare

Top Goalscorer Dellarossa J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Club Oriental De Futbol Compare

Top Goalscorer Motta B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Central Esp. 77 / 100
Club Oriental De Futbol 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Central Esp. Club Oriental De Futbol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Central Esp. Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Central Esp. scored in 70% of their last 27 games.

Defensive concern: Club Oriental De Futbol conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Solid form: Central Esp. remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Central Esp. VS Club Oriental De Futbol
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Central Esp.

(Home)
03 Oct
Maldonado
3 : 0
Central Esp.
27 Sept
Central Esp.
1 : 2
Liverpool M.
21 Sept
Central Esp.
1 : 4
Montevideo City
17 Sept
Central Esp.
1 : 1
Club Oriental De Futbol
12 Sept
Cerro Largo
0 : 0
Central Esp.
Page 1 of 6

Club Oriental De Futbol

(Away)
10 Oct
River Plate Montevideo
3 : 1
Club Oriental De Futbol
04 Oct
Colon
0 : 0
Club Oriental De Futbol
26 Sept
Club Oriental De Futbol
3 : 2
Fenix
20 Sept
Rentistas
0 : 2
Club Oriental De Futbol
17 Sept
Central Esp.
1 : 1
Club Oriental De Futbol
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Penarol 3 1 2 0 4:3 5
2 Montevideo City 3 1 1 1 5:4 4
3 Danubio 3 1 1 1 4:5 4
4 Atenas 3 0 2 1 7:8 2
Promotion - Copa Uruguay (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Plaza Colonia 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
2 Cerro Largo 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
3 Rentistas 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
4 Defensor Sp. 3 0 2 1 1:2 2
Promotion - Copa Uruguay (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maldonado 3 3 0 0 8:2 9
2 Cerrito 3 2 0 1 5:3 6
3 CA Cerro 3 0 1 2 2:5 1
4 Wanderers 3 0 1 2 3:8 1
Promotion - Copa Uruguay (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Central Esp. 3 2 1 0 8:3 7
2 Juventud 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
3 Racing Montevideo 3 1 0 2 4:8 3
4 Club Oriental De Futbol 3 0 1 2 2:4 1
Promotion - Copa Uruguay (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club Nacional 3 2 1 0 4:2 7
2 Albion 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
3 River Plate Montevideo 3 1 1 1 4:3 4
4 Progreso 3 0 0 3 1:5 0
Promotion - Copa Uruguay (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boston River 3 3 0 0 6:2 9
2 Liverpool M. 3 2 0 1 5:1 6
3 Fenix 3 0 1 2 5:8 1
4 Colon 3 0 1 2 3:8 1
Promotion - Copa Uruguay (Play Offs)