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Central Football W vs Canterbury United W

New Zealand New Zealand

National League Women 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Turner C.
34' Event
Mortlock C.
67' Event
Yek D.

AI Match Summary

The National League Women 2024 game between Central Football W and Canterbury United W finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Canterbury United W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Central Football W
6%
Draws
90%
Canterbury United W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Canterbury United W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Canterbury United W come out ahead of Central Football W on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Canterbury United W taking it.
  • Regular National League Women 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 98%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Canterbury United W have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 98%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Central Football W Clean Sheet 10%
Canterbury United W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Central Football W Canterbury United W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 2 10
Draws 1 4
Losses 27 16
Goals Scored 0.13 1
Goals Conceded 6.5 3.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 6.50 3.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 21, 2025 National League Women
Canterbury United W vs Central Football W
9:0
Nov 15, 2024 National League Women
Central Football W vs Canterbury United W
1:2
Oct 6, 2023 National League Women
Central Football W vs Canterbury United W
2:2
Nov 5, 2022 National League Women
Central Football W vs Canterbury United W
2:3
Sep 17, 2022 National League Women
Canterbury United W vs Central Football W
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Central Football W Compare

Top Goalscorer Turner C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.1
Avg xA / game 0.07

Canterbury United W Compare

Top Goalscorer Mortlock C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Yek D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Central Football W 10 / 100
Canterbury United W 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Central Football W Canterbury United W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:4
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Canterbury United W let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.80 goals.

Canterbury United W's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Central Football W found the back of the net in 33% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Central Football W VS Canterbury United W
0.13 Goals Scored 1
6.5 Goals Conceded 3.88
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 100%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Central Football W

(Home)
21 Nov
Canterbury United W
9 : 0
Central Football W
15 Nov
Central Football W
0 : 9
Wellington United W
08 Nov
Southern United W
7 : 0
Central Football W
01 Nov
Wellington Phoenix 2 W
6 : 0
Central Football W
22 Oct
Central Football W
0 : 3
Petone W
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Canterbury United W

(Away)
21 Nov
Canterbury United W
9 : 0
Central Football W
15 Nov
Petone W
0 : 2
Canterbury United W
08 Nov
Canterbury United W
0 : 5
West Coast Rangers W
01 Nov
Canterbury United W
1 : 8
Wellington United W
25 Oct
Southern United W
4 : 0
Canterbury United W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Auckland United W981021:425
2Waterside Karori W953118:818
3Eastern Suburbs W942324:914
4Western Springs W942322:1314
5West Coast Rangers W942320:1514
6Wellington United W934219:1113
7Canterbury United W941417:2013
8Southern United W932417:1211
9Wellington Phoenix 2 W91179:284
10Central Football W90093:500
Promotion - National League Women 2024 (Play Offs)