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Stadium Background

Central Norte vs Acassuso - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio Padre Ernesto Martearena, Salta
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Central Norte host Acassuso in the Primera Nacional. This shapes up as a tight, low-scoring affair. Central Norte have averaged 0.76 scored and 0.97 conceded recently, against Acassuso's 0.59 scored and 1.03 conceded. Head-to-head, Central Norte have won 0 to Acassuso's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Jun 6, 2026, ending 2:1. The numbers (0.63 xG vs 0.76) point toward Central Norte. The model tips Under 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Central Norte
35%
Draws
41%
Acassuso
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Acassuso

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Central Norte have won more games recently than Acassuso.
  • Model gives Acassuso a 41% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Primera Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 38%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Central Norte Clean Sheet 27%
Acassuso Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Central Norte Acassuso
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 5
Draws 14 9
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 0.76 0.59
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2026 Primera Nacional
Acassuso vs Central Norte
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Central Norte 30 / 100
Acassuso 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Central Norte Acassuso

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Acassuso Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Acassuso's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Central Norte has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Central Norte scored in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Central Norte VS Acassuso
0.63 Goals Scored 0.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
38% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Central Norte

(Home)
18 Oct
Chaco For Ever
1 : 2
Central Norte
11 Oct
Central Norte
1 : 1
Ferro
04 Oct
Central Norte
1 : 1
Racing Cordoba
26 Sept
Deportivo Madryn
0 : 0
Central Norte
20 Sept
Central Norte
0 : 1
Defensores de Belgrano
Page 1 of 6

Acassuso

(Away)
17 Oct
Acassuso
0 : 0
Deportivo Madryn
11 Oct
Defensores de Belgrano
0 : 3
Acassuso
03 Oct
Acassuso
0 : 1
Ciudad Bolivar
26 Sept
Almirante Brown
0 : 1
Acassuso
19 Sept
Acassuso
2 : 0
CA Mitre
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferro 34 19 8 7 38:28 65
2 Godoy Cruz 34 17 9 8 48:32 60
3 Deportivo Moron 34 17 7 10 51:36 58
4 Deportivo Madryn 34 14 12 8 47:30 54
5 Colon Santa Fe 34 14 12 8 41:27 54
6 Ciudad Bolivar 34 13 12 9 30:29 51
7 Almirante Brown 34 12 12 10 28:24 48
8 CA Estudiantes 34 13 9 12 34:33 48
9 Los Andes 34 9 14 11 26:25 41
10 Chaco For Ever 34 10 10 14 33:36 40
11 Racing Cordoba 34 10 10 14 30:40 40
12 CA Mitre 34 8 15 11 31:39 39
13 Defensores de Belgrano 33 8 13 12 25:32 37
14 Central Norte 34 7 16 11 23:31 37
15 San Telmo 33 9 10 14 28:37 37
16 All Boys 34 6 17 11 19:29 35
17 Acassuso 34 8 9 17 25:35 33
18 San Miguel 34 6 14 14 27:41 32
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tristan Suarez 34 16 14 4 33:15 62
2 Temperley 34 16 12 6 41:28 60
3 Gimnasia Jujuy 34 16 10 8 51:42 58
4 Atletico Atlanta 34 18 4 12 40:33 58
5 Gimnasia y Tiro 34 14 10 10 37:31 52
6 Midland 34 14 9 11 40:29 51
7 Colegiales 34 14 8 12 35:31 50
8 Deportivo Maipu 34 13 9 12 40:33 48
9 San Martin S.J. 34 12 11 11 36:34 47
10 San Martin T. 34 11 13 10 38:35 46
11 Atl. Rafaela 34 12 9 13 28:34 45
12 Almagro 34 11 8 15 31:41 41
13 Agropecuario 34 10 10 14 27:38 40
14 Quilmes 34 10 9 15 30:29 39
15 Patronato 34 7 16 11 29:33 37
16 Chacarita Juniors 34 10 6 18 26:35 36
17 Nueva Chicago 34 9 9 16 24:33 36
18 Club Atletico Guemes 34 6 8 20 25:57 26
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)