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Stadium Background

Central Norte vs Deportivo Moron - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio Padre Ernesto Martearena, Salta
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Castro T. In: Moravec M.
Out: Castro T.
60'
Sub
Iniguez E. In: Cardozo L.
Out: Iniguez E.
60'
Sub
Quiroga S. In: Bustinduy A.
Out: Quiroga S.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Primera Nacional matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Central Norte
30%
Draws
35%
Deportivo Moron
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Deportivo Moron have won more games recently than Central Norte.
  • Central Norte are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Central Norte Clean Sheet 68%
Deportivo Moron Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Central Norte Deportivo Moron
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 5 15
Draws 15 5
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 0.7 1.42
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 27, 2026 Primera Nacional
Central Norte vs Deportivo Moron
0:0
Mar 1, 2026 Primera Nacional
Deportivo Moron vs Central Norte
2:0
Jun 22, 2025 Primera Nacional
Central Norte vs Deportivo Moron
0:0
Feb 16, 2025 Primera Nacional
Deportivo Moron vs Central Norte
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Central Norte 59 / 100
Deportivo Moron 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Central Norte Deportivo Moron

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Central Norte Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Deportivo Moron's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 31 matches.

Central Norte went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Deportivo Moron lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Central Norte's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Central Norte VS Deportivo Moron
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Central Norte

(Home)
31 Oct
San Telmo
1 : 0
Central Norte
25 Oct
Central Norte
0 : 0
Acassuso
18 Oct
Chaco For Ever
1 : 2
Central Norte
11 Oct
Central Norte
1 : 1
Ferro
04 Oct
Central Norte
1 : 1
Racing Cordoba
Page 1 of 6

Deportivo Moron

(Away)
31 Oct
Deportivo Moron
2 : 0
Ciudad Bolivar
25 Oct
Almirante Brown
1 : 0
Deportivo Moron
18 Oct
Deportivo Moron
0 : 2
CA Mitre
11 Oct
CA Estudiantes
2 : 0
Deportivo Moron
03 Oct
Deportivo Moron
2 : 1
All Boys
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Godoy Cruz 36 19 9 8 53:33 66
2 Ferro 36 19 9 8 38:31 66
3 Deportivo Moron 36 18 7 11 53:37 61
4 Deportivo Madryn 36 16 12 8 52:31 60
5 Colon Santa Fe 36 16 12 8 45:27 60
6 Almirante Brown 36 13 12 11 30:26 51
7 Ciudad Bolivar 36 13 12 11 30:33 51
8 CA Estudiantes 36 13 10 13 35:35 49
9 Chaco For Ever 36 12 10 14 39:37 46
10 Los Andes 36 9 16 11 27:26 43
11 All Boys 36 8 17 11 22:30 41
12 San Telmo 36 10 11 15 30:41 41
13 CA Mitre 36 8 16 12 31:42 40
14 Racing Cordoba 36 10 10 16 32:45 40
15 Defensores de Belgrano 36 8 15 13 25:34 39
16 Central Norte 36 7 17 12 23:32 38
17 Acassuso 36 8 11 17 25:35 35
18 San Miguel 36 6 15 15 27:42 33
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tristan Suarez 36 16 16 4 34:16 64
2 Atletico Atlanta 36 19 5 12 42:34 62
3 Temperley 36 16 13 7 43:31 61
4 Gimnasia Jujuy 36 16 10 10 53:49 58
5 Midland 36 15 10 11 43:29 55
6 Deportivo Maipu 36 14 10 12 43:34 52
7 Colegiales 36 14 10 12 36:32 52
8 Gimnasia y Tiro 36 14 10 12 37:35 52
9 San Martin S.J. 36 13 12 11 42:36 51
10 San Martin T. 36 11 14 11 39:37 47
11 Atl. Rafaela 36 12 11 13 29:35 47
12 Agropecuario 36 12 10 14 31:39 46
13 Quilmes 36 12 9 15 33:30 45
14 Chacarita Juniors 36 12 6 18 29:35 42
15 Almagro 36 11 9 16 33:44 42
16 Patronato 36 7 17 12 29:35 38
17 Nueva Chicago 36 9 10 17 25:36 37
18 Club Atletico Guemes 36 6 9 21 28:62 27
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)