Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Central Norte vs Deportivo Moron

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio Padre Ernesto Martearena, Salta
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Castro T. In: Moravec M.
Out: Castro T.
60'
Sub
Iniguez E. In: Cardozo L.
Out: Iniguez E.
60'
Sub
Quiroga S. In: Bustinduy A.
Out: Quiroga S.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Primera Nacional matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Central Norte
35%
Draws
40%
Deportivo Moron
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Deportivo Moron

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Deportivo Moron have won more games recently than Central Norte.
  • Deportivo Moron are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Central Norte Clean Sheet 14%
Deportivo Moron Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Central Norte Deportivo Moron
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 17
Draws 13 5
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 0.66 1.62
Goals Conceded 0.93 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 27, 2026 Primera Nacional
Central Norte vs Deportivo Moron
0:0
Mar 1, 2026 Primera Nacional
Deportivo Moron vs Central Norte
2:0
Jun 22, 2025 Primera Nacional
Central Norte vs Deportivo Moron
0:0
Feb 16, 2025 Primera Nacional
Deportivo Moron vs Central Norte
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Central Norte 27 / 100
Deportivo Moron 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Central Norte Deportivo Moron

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Deportivo Moron Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Central Norte stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Deportivo Moron let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

Central Norte scored in 52% of their last 29 games.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Central Norte VS Deportivo Moron
0.88 Goals Scored 2
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Central Norte

(Home)
12 Sept
Ciudad Bolivar
0 : 0
Central Norte
06 Sept
Central Norte
0 : 0
Almirante Brown
30 Aug
CA Mitre
2 : 2
Central Norte
27 Aug
Central Norte
0 : 0
Deportivo Moron
23 Aug
Central Norte
2 : 1
CA Estudiantes
Page 1 of 6

Deportivo Moron

(Away)
13 Sept
Racing Cordoba
1 : 2
Deportivo Moron
05 Sept
Colon Santa Fe
1 : 2
Deportivo Moron
30 Aug
Deportivo Moron
2 : 1
San Miguel
27 Aug
Central Norte
0 : 0
Deportivo Moron
21 Aug
San Telmo
2 : 2
Deportivo Moron
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Deportivo Moron 29 16 7 6 47:27 55
2 Ferro 29 16 7 6 34:25 55
3 Godoy Cruz 29 14 7 8 36:25 49
4 Deportivo Madryn 29 12 10 7 42:28 46
5 Almirante Brown 29 12 10 7 23:16 46
6 Colon Santa Fe 29 12 9 8 35:25 45
7 CA Estudiantes 29 10 9 10 26:25 39
8 Ciudad Bolivar 29 9 12 8 24:26 39
9 Los Andes 29 8 13 8 22:17 37
10 Racing Cordoba 29 9 8 12 26:34 35
11 Chaco For Ever 29 8 9 12 26:29 33
12 Defensores de Belgrano 29 7 12 10 22:26 33
13 CA Mitre 29 6 14 9 27:35 32
14 Central Norte 29 6 13 10 19:27 31
15 All Boys 29 6 13 10 16:25 31
16 San Telmo 29 7 10 12 23:33 31
17 San Miguel 29 6 12 11 23:33 30
18 Acassuso 29 5 8 16 19:34 23
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tristan Suarez 29 14 11 4 31:15 53
2 Gimnasia Jujuy 29 15 7 7 44:35 52
3 Temperley 29 13 11 5 33:23 50
4 Atletico Atlanta 29 15 3 11 34:28 48
5 Gimnasia y Tiro 29 12 9 8 31:26 45
6 Midland 29 12 8 9 32:25 44
7 San Martin S.J. 29 11 9 9 31:27 42
8 Deportivo Maipu 29 11 7 11 36:30 40
9 Colegiales 29 11 7 11 29:28 40
10 San Martin T. 29 9 12 8 30:26 39
11 Atl. Rafaela 29 10 9 10 21:24 39
12 Quilmes 29 9 8 12 28:24 35
13 Almagro 29 9 8 12 25:33 35
14 Agropecuario 29 8 9 12 25:34 33
15 Nueva Chicago 29 8 8 13 21:28 32
16 Patronato 29 5 15 9 23:30 30
17 Chacarita Juniors 29 7 6 16 19:31 27
18 Club Atletico Guemes 29 5 8 16 23:49 23
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)