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Central Norte vs Gimnasia y Tiro - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio Padre Ernesto Martearena, Salta
Our Tip

Match Events

26'
Aguirre J.
33'
Calderon E.
46'
Sub
Quiroga S. In: Castro T.
Out: Quiroga S.

AI Match Summary

The Primera Nacional game between Central Norte and Gimnasia y Tiro finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Central Norte
35%
Draws
41%
Gimnasia y Tiro
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Gimnasia y Tiro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Central Norte haven't matched Gimnasia y Tiro's recent run of results.
  • Central Norte are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Central Norte Clean Sheet 68%
Gimnasia y Tiro Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Central Norte Gimnasia y Tiro
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 11
Draws 14 8
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 0.69 0.9
Goals Conceded 0.9 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Primera Nacional
Central Norte vs Gimnasia y Tiro
0:0
Mar 29, 2026 Primera Nacional
Gimnasia y Tiro vs Central Norte
0:1
Feb 1, 2025 Club Friendly
Gimnasia y Tiro vs Central Norte
0:0
Jan 19, 2025 Club Friendly
Central Norte vs Gimnasia y Tiro
1:1
Oct 1, 2023 Torneo Federal
Central Norte vs Gimnasia y Tiro
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Central Norte 51 / 100
Gimnasia y Tiro 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Central Norte Gimnasia y Tiro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Gimnasia y Tiro conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

Central Norte went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Central Norte scored in 55% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Central Norte VS Gimnasia y Tiro
0.63 Goals Scored 0.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
38% Over 1.5 25%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Central Norte

(Home)
04 Oct
Central Norte
1 : 1
Racing Cordoba
26 Sept
Deportivo Madryn
0 : 0
Central Norte
20 Sept
Central Norte
0 : 1
Defensores de Belgrano
12 Sept
Ciudad Bolivar
0 : 0
Central Norte
06 Sept
Central Norte
0 : 0
Almirante Brown
Page 1 of 6

Gimnasia y Tiro

(Away)
04 Oct
San Martin T.
1 : 0
Gimnasia y Tiro
27 Sept
Gimnasia y Tiro
1 : 0
Atl. Rafaela
20 Sept
Agropecuario
1 : 0
Gimnasia y Tiro
12 Sept
Gimnasia y Tiro
0 : 0
Tristan Suarez
06 Sept
Club Atletico Guemes
1 : 3
Gimnasia y Tiro
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferro 32 18 7 7 36:27 61
2 Deportivo Moron 32 17 7 8 51:32 58
3 Godoy Cruz 32 16 8 8 42:29 56
4 Deportivo Madryn 32 14 11 7 46:28 53
5 Colon Santa Fe 32 14 10 8 39:25 52
6 Almirante Brown 32 12 10 10 25:21 46
7 CA Estudiantes 32 12 9 11 29:27 45
8 Ciudad Bolivar 32 11 12 9 27:28 45
9 Los Andes 32 9 13 10 25:23 40
10 Chaco For Ever 32 9 10 13 30:33 37
11 Defensores de Belgrano 32 8 13 11 25:29 37
12 San Telmo 32 9 10 13 28:36 37
13 Racing Cordoba 32 9 10 13 29:39 37
14 CA Mitre 32 7 14 11 29:39 35
15 Central Norte 32 6 15 11 20:29 33
16 All Boys 32 6 15 11 18:28 33
17 San Miguel 32 6 13 13 25:38 31
18 Acassuso 32 7 8 17 22:35 29
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tristan Suarez 32 15 13 4 32:15 58
2 Temperley 32 15 11 6 38:26 56
3 Atletico Atlanta 32 17 4 11 38:30 55
4 Gimnasia Jujuy 32 15 9 8 48:40 54
5 Midland 32 13 9 10 34:26 48
6 Gimnasia y Tiro 32 13 9 10 32:28 48
7 Deportivo Maipu 32 13 8 11 39:31 47
8 Colegiales 32 13 7 12 32:31 46
9 San Martin S.J. 32 12 9 11 34:32 45
10 San Martin T. 32 10 13 9 35:32 43
11 Atl. Rafaela 32 11 9 12 27:30 42
12 Quilmes 32 10 9 13 30:27 39
13 Almagro 32 10 8 14 28:38 38
14 Agropecuario 32 9 10 13 26:35 37
15 Nueva Chicago 32 9 9 14 23:30 36
16 Patronato 32 6 16 10 27:32 34
17 Chacarita Juniors 32 9 6 17 24:33 33
18 Club Atletico Guemes 32 5 8 19 23:54 23
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)