Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Central Norte vs San Telmo

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio Padre Ernesto Martearena, Salta
Our Tip

Match Events

16'
Sub
Ledesma M. I. In: Salerno M.
Out: Ledesma M. I.
46'
Sub
Mateo J. In: Vedoya F.
Out: Mateo J.
46'
Sub
Zurbriggen J. In: Tisera F.
Out: Zurbriggen J.

AI Match Summary

The Primera Nacional game between Central Norte and San Telmo finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Central Norte
30%
Draws
23%
San Telmo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Central Norte

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • San Telmo's 0.82 goals per match outpaces what Central Norte have produced (0.68).
  • Win probability leans Central Norte's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Primera Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • San Telmo have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Central Norte Clean Sheet 68%
San Telmo Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Central Norte San Telmo
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 6 6
Draws 10 9
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 0.68 0.82
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 14, 2026 Primera Nacional
Central Norte vs San Telmo
0:0
Sep 14, 2025 Primera Nacional
San Telmo vs Central Norte
3:1
May 13, 2025 Primera Nacional
Central Norte vs San Telmo
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Central Norte 77 / 100
San Telmo 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Central Norte San Telmo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Central Norte Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Telmo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.33 goals when they meet.

Central Norte has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

San Telmo's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Central Norte VS San Telmo
0.88 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Central Norte

(Home)
23 Aug
Central Norte
2 : 1
CA Estudiantes
16 Aug
Central Norte
0 : 0
Gimnasia y Tiro
10 Aug
All Boys
1 : 1
Central Norte
02 Aug
Central Norte
1 : 0
Los Andes
26 Jul
Godoy Cruz
2 : 1
Central Norte
Page 1 of 6

San Telmo

(Away)
21 Aug
San Telmo
2 : 2
Deportivo Moron
15 Aug
Quilmes
3 : 0
San Telmo
09 Aug
Colon Santa Fe
1 : 0
San Telmo
02 Aug
San Telmo
1 : 0
San Miguel
26 Jul
Racing Cordoba
2 : 1
San Telmo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferro 25 15 4 6 31:23 49
2 Deportivo Moron 25 13 6 6 41:24 45
3 Colon Santa Fe 26 12 9 5 34:20 45
4 Almirante Brown 26 11 8 7 22:16 41
5 Deportivo Madryn 25 10 10 5 36:24 40
6 Godoy Cruz 25 11 7 7 29:22 40
7 CA Estudiantes 26 9 8 9 23:22 35
8 Ciudad Bolivar 26 8 11 7 22:23 35
9 Los Andes 25 8 9 8 20:15 33
10 Racing Cordoba 26 8 8 10 24:29 32
11 San Miguel 25 6 11 8 20:25 29
12 CA Mitre 26 6 11 9 25:33 29
13 Central Norte 25 6 9 10 17:25 27
14 All Boys 25 5 12 8 15:23 27
15 Defensores de Belgrano 25 5 11 9 16:23 26
16 Chaco For Ever 25 6 7 12 22:29 25
17 San Telmo 25 5 9 11 20:29 24
18 Acassuso 25 5 7 13 18:30 22
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tristan Suarez 25 13 9 3 28:13 48
2 Gimnasia Jujuy 26 13 6 7 39:32 45
3 Temperley 26 11 10 5 29:22 43
4 Atletico Atlanta 25 13 3 9 31:25 42
5 Midland 25 10 8 7 27:19 38
6 Deportivo Maipu 26 11 5 10 34:27 38
7 Gimnasia y Tiro 26 10 8 8 27:25 38
8 San Martin T. 26 8 11 7 26:23 35
9 Atl. Rafaela 25 9 8 8 18:19 35
10 Quilmes 26 8 8 10 27:22 32
11 San Martin S.J. 24 8 8 8 26:24 32
12 Colegiales 25 8 7 10 23:25 31
13 Almagro 26 8 7 11 21:29 31
14 Nueva Chicago 25 7 8 10 20:24 29
15 Agropecuario 26 7 8 11 22:30 29
16 Chacarita Juniors 26 7 6 13 19:28 27
17 Patronato 25 4 13 8 21:29 25
18 Club Atletico Guemes 25 5 6 14 21:43 21
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)