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Central Tocantinense vs Tocantins

Brazil Brazil

Tocantinense 2
Sat, Oct 11, 2025
3 - 0
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Central Tocantinense host Tocantins in the Tocantinense 2. Central Tocantinense go into this one as the clear favorite. Recent numbers: Central Tocantinense at 2 goals for, 2 against; Tocantins at 0.67 for, 2.6 against. Head-to-head, Central Tocantinense have won 1 to Tocantins's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Oct 11, 2025, ending 3:0. The numbers (2.00 xG vs 1.50) point toward Central Tocantinense. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Central Tocantinense
20%
Draws
10%
Tocantins
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Central Tocantinense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Tocantins lately — more wins on the board than Central Tocantinense.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Central Tocantinense taking it.
  • Regular Tocantinense 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
Central Tocantinense Clean Sheet 16%
Tocantins Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Central Tocantinense Tocantins
Matches Played 6 30
Wins 3 7
Draws 1 2
Losses 2 21
Goals Scored 2 0.67
Goals Conceded 2 2.6
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 11, 2025 Tocantinense 2
Central Tocantinense vs Tocantins
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Central Tocantinense 84 / 100
Tocantins 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Central Tocantinense Tocantins

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CEN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Central Tocantinense scored in 100% of their last 6 outings.

Tocantins has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Central Tocantinense went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Central Tocantinense VS Tocantins
2 Goals Scored 1
2 Goals Conceded 2
83% Over 1.5 88%
83% Over 2.5 63%
67% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Central Tocantinense

(Home)
16 Nov
Uniao de Palmas
4 : 1
Central Tocantinense
08 Nov
Central Tocantinense
3 : 1
Uniao de Palmas
02 Nov
Paraiso EC
2 : 2
Central Tocantinense
25 Oct
Central Tocantinense
2 : 5
Guarai SC
19 Oct
Araguaia (TO)
0 : 1
Central Tocantinense
Page 1 of 2

Tocantins

(Away)
01 Nov
Guarai SC
3 : 0
Tocantins
25 Oct
Tocantins
0 : 3
Araguaia (TO)
11 Oct
Central Tocantinense
3 : 0
Tocantins
04 Oct
Tocantins
0 : 3
Paraiso EC
15 Mar
Tocantins
1 : 1
Gurupi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palmas 4 2 1 1 9:2 7
2 Uniao de Palmas 4 2 1 1 6:6 7
3 Alvorada 4 1 2 1 6:5 5
4 Interporto 4 2 2 0 11:2 2
5 Taquarussu 4 0 0 4 2:19 0
Promotion - Tocantinense 2 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guarai SC 4 4 0 0 18:2 12
2 Paraiso EC 4 2 1 1 8:7 7
3 Central Tocantinense 4 2 1 1 8:7 1
4 Araguaia (TO) 4 1 0 3 4:10 -6
5 Tocantins 4 0 0 4 0:12 0
Promotion - Tocantinense 2 (Play Offs)