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Central Union vs 1 de Mayo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Copa Simon Bolivar
Central Union Logo

Central Union

4 - 0
FT
1 de Mayo Logo

1 de Mayo

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 4-0. This leg finished 4-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Central Union
15%
Draws
51%
1 de Mayo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: 1 de Mayo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • 1 de Mayo have won more games recently than Central Union.
  • Win probability leans Central Union's way, sitting at 42%.
  • 1 de Mayo arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor 1 de Mayo, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors 1 de Mayo here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Central Union Clean Sheet 19%
1 de Mayo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Central Union 1 de Mayo
Matches Played 29 24
Wins 8 13
Draws 5 0
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 0.97 1.46
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Copa Simon Bolivar
Central Union vs 1 de Mayo
4:0
Aug 30, 2026 Copa Simon Bolivar
1 de Mayo vs Central Union
3:1
Sep 21, 2025 Copa Simon Bolivar
1 de Mayo vs Central Union
3:0
Sep 6, 2025 Copa Simon Bolivar
Central Union vs 1 de Mayo
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Central Union 42 / 100
1 de Mayo 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Central Union 1 de Mayo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: 1 de Mayo conceded in 75% of 24 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Central Union scored in 55% of their last 29 games.

Central Union went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Central Union VS 1 de Mayo
1.63 Goals Scored 1.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Central Union

(Home)
27 Sept
CD Guadalajara
1 : 2
Central Union
19 Sept
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz
2 : 0
Central Union
12 Sept
Central Union
4 : 0
1 de Mayo
05 Sept
Central Union
0 : 1
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz
30 Aug
1 de Mayo
3 : 1
Central Union
Page 1 of 6

1 de Mayo

(Away)
27 Sept
1 de Mayo
1 : 2
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz
20 Sept
1 de Mayo
2 : 0
CD Guadalajara
12 Sept
Central Union
4 : 0
1 de Mayo
06 Sept
CD Guadalajara
1 : 2
1 de Mayo
30 Aug
1 de Mayo
3 : 1
Central Union
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Em Huanuni 6 4 2 0 13:4 14
2 Fatic 6 3 1 2 13:7 10
3 Atletico Sucre 6 3 0 3 15:8 9
4 Libertad FC 6 0 1 5 0:22 1
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 26 de Febrero 6 5 0 1 14:6 15
2 Chaco FC 6 3 0 3 19:15 9
3 Hiska Nacional 6 2 1 3 10:15 7
4 Ingenieros 6 1 1 4 10:17 4
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente CBBA 6 5 0 1 12:6 15
2 Mineros Potosi 6 3 1 2 20:8 10
3 Wilstermann Cooperativas 6 3 1 2 15:12 10
4 Atletico Juniors 6 0 0 6 5:26 0
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Virginia 6 4 2 0 10:3 14
2 Tiquipaya 6 3 2 1 15:4 11
3 San Martin de Yacuiba 6 3 0 3 6:8 9
4 Universitario Beni 6 0 0 6 3:19 0
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 San Juan FC 6 4 1 1 12:4 13
2 Deportivo Tigres 6 2 2 2 9:5 8
3 Universitario de Sucre 6 2 2 2 8:8 8
4 Universitario de Tarija 6 1 1 4 5:17 4
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 1 de Mayo 6 4 0 2 11:10 12
2 Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz 6 3 2 1 10:7 11
3 Central Union 6 3 0 3 9:7 9
4 CD Guadalajara 6 0 2 4 5:11 2
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)