Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Central Union vs CD Guadalajara - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bolivia Bolivia

Copa Simon Bolivar
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. The second leg ended 2-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Central Union
20%
Draws
20%
CD Guadalajara
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Central Union

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Central Union carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Central Union are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Central Union have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor CD Guadalajara, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Central Union here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Central Union Clean Sheet 20%
CD Guadalajara Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Central Union CD Guadalajara
Matches Played 29 14
Wins 8 4
Draws 5 2
Losses 16 8
Goals Scored 0.97 1
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.64
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Copa Simon Bolivar
CD Guadalajara vs Central Union
1:2
Aug 22, 2026 Copa Simon Bolivar
Central Union vs CD Guadalajara
2:0
Sep 14, 2025 Copa Simon Bolivar
CD Guadalajara vs Central Union
0:1
Aug 31, 2025 Copa Simon Bolivar
Central Union vs CD Guadalajara
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Central Union 76 / 100
CD Guadalajara 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Central Union CD Guadalajara

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Central Union Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Guadalajara let in goals in 86% of their last 14 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.75 goals when they meet.

Away concern: CD Guadalajara has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Central Union found the back of the net in 55% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

Central Union VS CD Guadalajara
1.5 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Central Union

(Home)
27 Sept
CD Guadalajara
1 : 2
Central Union
19 Sept
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz
2 : 0
Central Union
12 Sept
Central Union
4 : 0
1 de Mayo
05 Sept
Central Union
0 : 1
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz
30 Aug
1 de Mayo
3 : 1
Central Union
Page 1 of 6

CD Guadalajara

(Away)
27 Sept
CD Guadalajara
1 : 2
Central Union
20 Sept
1 de Mayo
2 : 0
CD Guadalajara
12 Sept
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz
1 : 1
CD Guadalajara
06 Sept
CD Guadalajara
1 : 2
1 de Mayo
30 Aug
CD Guadalajara
2 : 2
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz
Page 1 of 3

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Em Huanuni 6 4 2 0 13:4 14
2 Fatic 6 3 1 2 13:7 10
3 Atletico Sucre 6 3 0 3 15:8 9
4 Libertad FC 6 0 1 5 0:22 1
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 26 de Febrero 6 5 0 1 14:6 15
2 Chaco FC 6 3 0 3 19:15 9
3 Hiska Nacional 6 2 1 3 10:15 7
4 Ingenieros 6 1 1 4 10:17 4
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente CBBA 6 5 0 1 12:6 15
2 Mineros Potosi 6 3 1 2 20:8 10
3 Wilstermann Cooperativas 6 3 1 2 15:12 10
4 Atletico Juniors 6 0 0 6 5:26 0
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Virginia 6 4 2 0 10:3 14
2 Tiquipaya 6 3 2 1 15:4 11
3 San Martin de Yacuiba 6 3 0 3 6:8 9
4 Universitario Beni 6 0 0 6 3:19 0
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 San Juan FC 6 4 1 1 12:4 13
2 Deportivo Tigres 6 2 2 2 9:5 8
3 Universitario de Sucre 6 2 2 2 8:8 8
4 Universitario de Tarija 6 1 1 4 5:17 4
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 1 de Mayo 6 4 0 2 11:10 12
2 Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz 6 3 2 1 10:7 11
3 Central Union 6 3 0 3 9:7 9
4 CD Guadalajara 6 0 2 4 5:11 2
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)