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Central United vs Bay Olympic

New Zealand New Zealand

Chatham Cup 2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Central United in this Chatham Cup 2017 tie, finishing 5-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Central United
15%
Draws
34%
Bay Olympic
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Central United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Bay Olympic haven't matched Central United's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Central United a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Central United have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Central United, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Central United Clean Sheet 20%
Bay Olympic Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Central United Bay Olympic
Matches Played 30 11
Wins 18 4
Draws 0 0
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 2.6 1.36
Goals Conceded 1.67 2.18
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 26, 2017 Chatham Cup
Central United vs Bay Olympic
5:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Central United 85 / 100
Bay Olympic 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Central United Bay Olympic

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Central United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Central United's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Bay Olympic has conceded goals in 91% of their last 11 outings.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Central United remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Central United VS Bay Olympic
2 Goals Scored 1.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Central United

(Home)
14 Jul
Central United
0 : 5
East Coast
10 Sept
Central United
3 : 4
Onehunga
26 Aug
Central United
5 : 0
Bay Olympic
06 Aug
Central United
2 : 0
Wairarapa United
16 Jul
Central United
4 : 0
North Shore
Page 1 of 6

Bay Olympic

(Away)
09 Jul
Bay Olympic
1 : 2
Auckland City
11 Jul
Melville
2 : 1
Bay Olympic
24 Aug
Bay Olympic
0 : 2
Melville
03 Aug
Caversham
1 : 2
Bay Olympic
06 Jul
Bay Olympic
3 : 0
Manukau United
Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Central United 4
North Shore 0
Wairarapa United 2
Miramar 1
Stop Out SC 1
Western Suburbs 5
Western Springs 2
Bay Olympic 3
Queenstown Rovers 1
Nelson Suburbs FC 6
Cashmere Technical 2
Caversham 0
Three Kings 1
Birkenhead 2
Onehunga 1
Melville 0
Quarter-finals
Central United 2
Wairarapa United 0
Western Suburbs 1
Bay Olympic 2
Nelson Suburbs FC 0
Cashmere Technical 3
Birkenhead 0
Onehunga 3
Semi-finals
Central United 5
Bay Olympic 0
Cashmere Technical 0
Onehunga 3
Final
Central United 3
Onehunga 4