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Central United vs Hamilton

New Zealand New Zealand

Chatham Cup 2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-0, with Central United advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Central United
15%
Draws
42%
Hamilton
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Central United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Central United carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Central United are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Central United have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Central United, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Central United Clean Sheet 20%
Hamilton Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Central United Hamilton
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 18 11
Draws 0 7
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 2.6 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 27, 2014 Chatham Cup
Central United vs Hamilton
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Central United 85 / 100
Hamilton 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Central United Hamilton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Central United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Central United scored in 93% of their last 30 outings.

Hamilton's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Central United went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Hamilton
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Central United

(Home)
14 Jul
Central United
0 : 5
East Coast
10 Sept
Central United
3 : 4
Onehunga
26 Aug
Central United
5 : 0
Bay Olympic
06 Aug
Central United
2 : 0
Wairarapa United
16 Jul
Central United
4 : 0
North Shore
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Hamilton

(Away)
29 Jul
Hamilton
0 : 3
Christchurch
09 Jul
Hamilton
3 : 2
Ngaruawahia AFC
20 Aug
Eastern Suburbs
1 : 0
Hamilton
30 Jul
Miramar
3 : 4
Hamilton
09 Jul
Auckland United
0 : 1
Hamilton
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Central United 3
Glenfield 1
Bay Olympic 2
Hamilton 3
Island Bay 3
Miramar 2
Tawa 2
Napier City 4
Ngongotaha AFC 1
Melville 2
Tauranga 0
Onehunga 2
Dunedin 1
Otago University 0
Coastal Spirit 0
Cashmere Technical 1
Quarter-finals
Central United 2
Hamilton 0
Island Bay 1
Napier City 4
Melville 1
Onehunga 2
Dunedin 0
Cashmere Technical 3
Semi-finals
Central United 2
Napier City 0
Onehunga 0
Cashmere Technical 4
Final
Central United 1
Cashmere Technical 2