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Central United vs Lower Hutt City

New Zealand New Zealand

Chatham Cup 2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 6-1, with Central United advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Central United
15%
Draws
34%
Lower Hutt City
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Central United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Central United come out ahead of Lower Hutt City on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Central United's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Central United have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Central United, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 66.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 30%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Central United Clean Sheet 16%
Lower Hutt City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Central United Lower Hutt City
Matches Played 32 6
Wins 20 3
Draws 0 0
Losses 12 3
Goals Scored 2.59 2.17
Goals Conceded 1.63 2.67
Expected Goals (xG) 2.90 1.46
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 26, 2012 Chatham Cup
Central United vs Lower Hutt City
6:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Central United 66 / 100
Lower Hutt City 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Central United Lower Hutt City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Central United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Central United scored in 94% of their last 32 outings.

Games between these two average 7.00 goals.

Defensive concern: Lower Hutt City conceded in 67% of 6 recent games.

Central United has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Central United VS Lower Hutt City
3.13 Goals Scored 2.17
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.67
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 83%
50% Over 3.5 83%

Recent Form & Match History

Central United

(Home)
14 Jul
Central United
0 : 5
East Coast
10 Sept
Central United
3 : 4
Onehunga
26 Aug
Central United
5 : 0
Bay Olympic
06 Aug
Central United
2 : 0
Wairarapa United
16 Jul
Central United
4 : 0
North Shore
Page 1 of 7

Lower Hutt City

(Away)
10 Jul
Miramar
4 : 1
Lower Hutt City
29 Jun
Wellington Olympic
4 : 2
Lower Hutt City
26 Aug
Central United
6 : 1
Lower Hutt City
05 Aug
Caversham
0 : 4
Lower Hutt City
22 Jul
Birkenhead
2 : 3
Lower Hutt City
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Miramar 4
Stop Out SC 0
Dunedin 1
Western AFC 0
Three Kings 2
Central United 3
Melville 0
Eastern Suburbs 1
Caversham 4
Cashmere Technical 2
Manukau City 2
Papatoetoe 1
Birkenhead 4
Hamilton 1
Lower Hutt City 2
Napier City 0
Quarter-finals
Miramar 5
Dunedin 1
Central United 2
Eastern Suburbs 0
Caversham 3
Manukau City 1
Birkenhead 2
Lower Hutt City 3
Semi-finals
Miramar 0
Central United 6
Caversham 0
Lower Hutt City 4
Final
Central United 6
Lower Hutt City 1