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Centre Chiefs vs Black Lions

Botswana Botswana

Premier League 2025/2026
Centre Chiefs Logo

Centre Chiefs

1 - 0
FT
Black Lions Logo

Black Lions

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Centre Chiefs and Black Lions finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Centre Chiefs.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Centre Chiefs
15%
Draws
42%
Black Lions
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Centre Chiefs

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Black Lions haven't matched Centre Chiefs's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 23.200000000000003%
Centre Chiefs Clean Sheet 68%
Black Lions Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Centre Chiefs Black Lions
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 15 7
Draws 6 6
Losses 7 17
Goals Scored 1.07 0.57
Goals Conceded 0.64 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Premier League
Centre Chiefs vs Black Lions
1:0
Nov 7, 2025 Premier League
Black Lions vs Centre Chiefs
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Centre Chiefs 41 / 100
Black Lions 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Centre Chiefs Black Lions

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Centre Chiefs Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Centre Chiefs found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: Black Lions conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Difficult form: Black Lions registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Centre Chiefs VS Black Lions
1 Goals Scored 0.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
38% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Centre Chiefs

(Home)
11 Sept
Centre Chiefs
2 : 0
Nico United
29 Aug
Extension Gunners
1 : 0
Centre Chiefs
23 May
Extension Gunners
2 : 0
Centre Chiefs
20 May
Centre Chiefs
0 : 1
Gaborone Utd
12 May
BDF XI
1 : 2
Centre Chiefs
Page 1 of 6

Black Lions

(Away)
23 May
Black Lions
2 : 1
Santa Green
13 May
Sua Flamingoes
2 : 1
Black Lions
06 May
Police XI
1 : 0
Black Lions
25 Apr
Black Lions
2 : 1
Calendar Stars
11 Apr
Centre Chiefs
1 : 0
Black Lions
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gaborone Utd 30 23 5 2 62:15 74
2 Jwaneng Galaxy 30 17 8 5 55:23 59
3 Sua Flamingoes 30 18 5 7 44:30 59
4 Centre Chiefs 30 16 8 6 37:18 56
5 Morupule 30 14 5 11 41:33 47
6 Orapa United 30 12 11 7 35:30 47
7 Township Rollers 30 13 6 11 33:33 45
8 Nico United 30 10 12 8 28:25 42
9 Tafic FC 30 8 11 11 27:26 35
10 Matebele 30 8 9 13 29:37 33
11 Police XI 30 7 11 12 17:29 32
12 BDF XI 30 7 9 14 30:42 30
13 Extension Gunners 30 7 8 15 26:43 29
14 Black Lions 30 7 6 17 17:38 27
15 Santa Green 30 6 4 20 23:58 22
16 Calendar Stars 30 5 6 19 19:43 21
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)