Sport Picks

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Centro Dominguito vs Jong Holland

Curaçao Curaçao

Promé Divishon
Sun, Mar 17, 2024
VS
09:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Centro Dominguito play Jong Holland in the Promé Divishon. It looks like a close match. Recently, Centro Dominguito averaged 1.38 goals scored and 1.34 conceded. Jong Holland averaged 2.03 goals scored and 1.29 conceded. In past meetings, Centro Dominguito won 1, Jong Holland won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on Mar 17, 2024 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.06 for Centro Dominguito and 1.06 for Jong Holland. This points to a Jong Holland double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Centro Dominguito
31%
Draws
39%
Jong Holland
Draw rate projection: 31% Favored: Jong Holland

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • Centro Dominguito picked up more points recently compared to Jong Holland.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.06 vs 1.06 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 51%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61%
Centro Dominguito Clean Sheet 22%
Jong Holland Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 78%
Second Half Goal 83%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Centro Dominguito Jong Holland
Matches Played 29 35
Wins 10 18
Draws 9 8
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.38 2.03
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 17, 2024 Promé Divishon
Centro Dominguito vs Jong Holland
0:0
Dec 2, 2023 Promé Divishon
Jong Holland vs Centro Dominguito
0:2
Sep 3, 2022 Promé Divishon
Jong Holland vs Centro Dominguito
2:0
Jul 31, 2022 Promé Divishon
Centro Dominguito vs Jong Holland
1:2
Jun 23, 2022 Promé Divishon
Jong Holland vs Centro Dominguito
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Centro Dominguito 31 / 100
Jong Holland 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Centro Dominguito Jong Holland

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Jong Holland or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +36.5%
4.55
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +13.2%
2.22
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Centro Dominguito attacking → ← attacking Jong Holland

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Centro Dominguito scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Jong Holland let in goals in 71% of their last 35 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Centro Dominguito went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Jong Holland lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

39 Points in last 5 62
1.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Jong Colombia1492338:1629
2Scherpenheuvel1577122:1228
3Centro Dominguito1576225:1727
4Willemstad1482424:1426
5Jong Holland1472533:1623
6Victory Boys1446418:1618
7SUBT1451820:2916
8UNDEBA1443723:3915
9Salina14221017:378
10CSD Barber14211115:397