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Centro Limoeirense vs 1º de Maio

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Pernambucano 2 2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Pernambucano 2 2019 game between Centro Limoeirense and 1º de Maio finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Centro Limoeirense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Centro Limoeirense
30%
Draws
34%
1º de Maio
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Centro Limoeirense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Centro Limoeirense come out ahead of 1º de Maio on wins alone.
  • Model gives Centro Limoeirense a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Pernambucano 2 2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Centro Limoeirense Clean Sheet 20%
1º de Maio Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Centro Limoeirense 1º de Maio
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 8 5
Draws 6 7
Losses 16 19
Goals Scored 1.38 0.86
Goals Conceded 1.25 2.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 2.29

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 8, 2023 Pernambucano 2
Centro Limoeirense vs 1º de Maio
1:3
Sep 8, 2019 Pernambucano 2
Centro Limoeirense vs 1º de Maio
3:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Centro Limoeirense 36 / 100
1º de Maio 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Centro Limoeirense 1º de Maio

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: 1º de Maio conceded in 87% of 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Centro Limoeirense scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

1º de Maio lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Centro Limoeirense VS 1º de Maio
1.38 Goals Scored 0.86
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.29
100% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 57%
13% Over 3.5 43%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Retro734010:513
2CA Porto73408:313
3Decisao733111:412
4Vera Cruz73317:812
5Centro Limoeirense71335:76
6Ibis Sport Club71334:86
71º de Maio71246:115
8Ipojuca70435:104