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Centro Limoeirense vs Aguia FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Pernambucano
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Centro Limoeirense host Aguia FC in the Pernambucano. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Centro Limoeirense at 0.94 goals for, 2 against; Aguia FC at 1 for, 1.29 against. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. The numbers (1.19 xG vs 1.19) point toward Aguia FC. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Centro Limoeirense
15%
Draws
42%
Aguia FC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Centro Limoeirense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Centro Limoeirense come out ahead of Aguia FC on wins alone.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Aguia FC taking it.
  • Regular Pernambucano form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Centro Limoeirense Clean Sheet 20%
Aguia FC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Centro Limoeirense Aguia FC
Matches Played 31 21
Wins 8 6
Draws 6 4
Losses 17 11
Goals Scored 0.94 1
Goals Conceded 2 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Centro Limoeirense 16 / 100
Aguia FC 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Centro Limoeirense Aguia FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aguia FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aguia FC has conceded goals in 90% of their last 21 outings.

Attacking prowess: Centro Limoeirense scored in 61% of their last 31 outings.

Away concern: Aguia FC has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Solid form: Centro Limoeirense remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Centro Limoeirense VS Aguia FC
1.13 Goals Scored 0.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Centro Limoeirense

(Home)
25 Oct
Academica Vitoria
3 : 1
Centro Limoeirense
19 Oct
Belo Jardim
4 : 0
Centro Limoeirense
11 Oct
Centro Limoeirense
1 : 0
Vera Cruz
08 Oct
America PE
5 : 0
Centro Limoeirense
04 Oct
Centro Limoeirense
2 : 0
Ipojuca
Page 1 of 7

Aguia FC

(Away)
18 Oct
Caruaru
2 : 1
Aguia FC
11 Oct
Aguia FC
2 : 0
Ypiranga
08 Oct
CA Porto
1 : 0
Aguia FC
04 Oct
Aguia FC
1 : 0
Academica Vitoria
20 Sept
Aguia FC
1 : 2
Caruaru
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Salgueiro 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Petrolina 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Ferroviario do Cabo 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Afogados da Ingazeira 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 1º de Maio 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 Facilnet 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Pernambucano (First stage - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ypiranga 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 CA Porto 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Belo Jardim 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Pesqueira 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Cha Grande 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 Central SC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Pernambucano (First stage - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico PE 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Centro Limoeirense 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Jaguar 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Aguia FC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Serrano PE 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 Santa Fe PE 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Pernambucano (First stage - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 America PE 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Vera Cruz 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Ibis Sport Club 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Sete de Setembro (PE) 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Ipojuca 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 Guarany PE 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Pernambucano (First stage - Play Offs)