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Centro Limoeirense vs Belo Jardim

Brazil Brazil

Pernambucano 2
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Centro Limoeirense play Belo Jardim in the Pernambucano 2. It looks like a close match. Recently, Centro Limoeirense averaged 0.91 goals scored and 2.03 conceded. Belo Jardim averaged 1.36 goals scored and 1.42 conceded. In past meetings, Centro Limoeirense won 1, Belo Jardim won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Oct 19, 2025 ended 4:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.13 for Centro Limoeirense and 1.69 for Belo Jardim. This points to a Belo Jardim double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Centro Limoeirense
23%
Draws
42%
Belo Jardim
Draw rate projection: 23% Favored: Belo Jardim

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence
  • Centro Limoeirense picked up more points recently compared to Belo Jardim.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.13 vs 1.69 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 54%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 47%
Centro Limoeirense Clean Sheet 13%
Belo Jardim Clean Sheet 13%
First Half Goal 76%
Second Half Goal 80%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Centro Limoeirense Belo Jardim
Matches Played 33 33
Wins 8 11
Draws 8 7
Losses 17 15
Goals Scored 0.91 1.36
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 19, 2025 Pernambucano 2
Belo Jardim vs Centro Limoeirense
4:0
Sep 20, 2025 Pernambucano 2
Centro Limoeirense vs Belo Jardim
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Centro Limoeirense Compare

Top Goalscorer Elmir
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Belo Jardim Compare

Top Goalscorer Joelson
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Centro Limoeirense 34 / 100
Belo Jardim 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Centro Limoeirense Belo Jardim

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Belo Jardim or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +29.5%
3.70
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.3%
2.08
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Centro Limoeirense attacking → ← attacking Belo Jardim

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Centro Limoeirense scored in 61% of their last 33 games.

Belo Jardim let in goals in 70% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Centro Limoeirense went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Belo Jardim lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

32 Points in last 5 40
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.75
1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Academica Vitoria83419:613
2Caruaru83418:713
3CA Porto82516:411
4Aguia FC82156:97
5Ypiranga81433:67
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1America PE871025:522
2Centro Limoeirense84229:1314
3Belo Jardim841312:913
4Ipojuca812511:185
5Vera Cruz80266:182