Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Centro Oeste vs Aparecidense

Brazil Brazil

Goiano Jaime Guerra, Neropolis
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Fernando Viana
39' Event
Fernando Viana
45' Event
Raphael Luz
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 4-0. This leg finished 4-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Centro Oeste
30%
Draws
23%
Aparecidense
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Centro Oeste

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Aparecidense at 1.6 per game, Centro Oeste at 0.97.
  • Model gives Centro Oeste a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Centro Oeste, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Centro Oeste Clean Sheet 10%
Aparecidense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Centro Oeste Aparecidense
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 10
Draws 10 10
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 0.97 1.6
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.92
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 18, 2026 Goiano
Aparecidense vs Centro Oeste
4:0
Feb 14, 2026 Goiano
Centro Oeste vs Aparecidense
4:2
Jan 11, 2026 Goiano
Centro Oeste vs Aparecidense
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Centro Oeste Compare

Top Goalscorer Fernando Viana
3 Goals
Assists Leader Maycon Lucas
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Aparecidense Compare

Top Goalscorer Marcao
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.75
Avg xA / game 1.07

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Centro Oeste 34 / 100
Aparecidense 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Centro Oeste Aparecidense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Aparecidense conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.33 goals per match.

Centro Oeste scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Centro Oeste has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Centro Oeste VS Aparecidense
1 Goals Scored 1.63
2.2 Goals Conceded 1.88
80% Over 1.5 75%
60% Over 2.5 63%
40% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Centro Oeste

(Home)
18 Feb
Aparecidense
4 : 0
Centro Oeste
14 Feb
Centro Oeste
4 : 2
Aparecidense
07 Feb
CRAC
3 : 0
Centro Oeste
01 Feb
Centro Oeste
1 : 0
Goiatuba EC
29 Jan
Centro Oeste
0 : 2
Vila Nova FC
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Aparecidense

(Away)
27 Jun
Capital
4 : 0
Aparecidense
20 Jun
Aparecidense
1 : 1
Capital
07 Jun
Gama
2 : 2
Aparecidense
30 May
Aparecidense
1 : 1
Primavera AC
24 May
Luverdense
1 : 0
Aparecidense
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Aparecidense 6
Centro Oeste 4