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Cerceda vs Alondras

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Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 game between Cerceda and Alondras finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Cerceda
20%
Draws
60%
Alondras
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Alondras

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Alondras come out ahead of Cerceda on wins alone.
  • Cerceda are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Cerceda Clean Sheet 18%
Alondras Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cerceda Alondras
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 1 9
Draws 8 8
Losses 21 12
Goals Scored 0.67 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.87 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Cerceda vs Alondras
1:1
Nov 13, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Alondras vs Cerceda
1:3
Jan 24, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Cerceda vs Alondras
3:1
Sep 6, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Alondras vs Cerceda
1:5
May 3, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Cerceda vs Alondras
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cerceda 36 / 100
Alondras 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cerceda Alondras

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Alondras has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Away concern: Alondras has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Cerceda found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

- VS Alondras
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Cerceda

(Home)
13 May
Cerceda
0 : 2
CF Talavera
06 May
Deportivo Fabril
1 : 0
Cerceda
29 Apr
Cerceda
1 : 1
Ponferradina
22 Apr
Coruxo FC
3 : 2
Cerceda
14 Apr
Cerceda
1 : 1
Rayo Majadahonda
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Alondras

(Away)
05 Sept
Alondras
2 : 6
Pontevedra B
10 May
Barbadas-Bentraces
0 : 2
Alondras
03 May
Alondras
1 : 2
Viveiro
26 Apr
Alondras
0 : 4
Lugo B
19 Apr
Gran Pena
0 : 2
Alondras
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