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Cerceda vs Arosa SC

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cerceda in this Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cerceda.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Cerceda
20%
Draws
71%
Arosa SC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Arosa SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Arosa SC lately — more wins on the board than Cerceda.
  • Win probability leans Arosa SC's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Cerceda Clean Sheet 15%
Arosa SC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cerceda Arosa SC
Matches Played 33 42
Wins 4 24
Draws 8 12
Losses 21 6
Goals Scored 0.79 1.62
Goals Conceded 1.79 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.55
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 15, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Cerceda vs Arosa SC
2:0
Aug 28, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Arosa SC vs Cerceda
0:0
Jan 10, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Cerceda vs Arosa SC
1:2
Aug 23, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Arosa SC vs Cerceda
1:0
Apr 2, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Cerceda vs Arosa SC
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cerceda 10 / 100
Arosa SC 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cerceda Arosa SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arosa SC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Arosa SC conceded in 60% of 42 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Cerceda found the back of the net in 55% of recent matches (33 games).

Recent resilience: Cerceda stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Arosa SC
0 Goals Scored 2
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Cerceda

(Home)
13 May
Cerceda
0 : 2
CF Talavera
06 May
Deportivo Fabril
1 : 0
Cerceda
29 Apr
Cerceda
1 : 1
Ponferradina
22 Apr
Coruxo FC
3 : 2
Cerceda
14 Apr
Cerceda
1 : 1
Rayo Majadahonda
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Arosa SC

(Away)
01 Aug
Arosa SC
3 : 1
Pontevedra
10 May
Arosa SC
3 : 2
Celtiga
02 May
Cambados
0 : 2
Arosa SC
26 Apr
Arosa SC
1 : 0
CD Boiro
19 Apr
Barco
0 : 1
Arosa SC
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