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Cerceda vs CD Choco

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

CD Choco in this Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored CD Choco.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Cerceda
20%
Draws
0%
CD Choco
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cerceda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • CD Choco have won more games recently than Cerceda.
  • Win probability leans Cerceda's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Cerceda Clean Sheet 20%
CD Choco Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cerceda CD Choco
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 1 3
Draws 8 6
Losses 21 21
Goals Scored 0.67 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.87 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 12, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Cerceda vs CD Choco
2:3
Sep 24, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
CD Choco vs Cerceda
2:1
Mar 24, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Cerceda vs CD Choco
3:0
Nov 8, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
CD Choco vs Cerceda
0:1
Apr 12, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
CD Choco vs Cerceda
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cerceda 40 / 100
CD Choco 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cerceda CD Choco

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cerceda Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Choco has conceded goals in 97% of their last 30 outings.

CD Choco's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Cerceda scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS CD Choco
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Cerceda

(Home)
13 May
Cerceda
0 : 2
CF Talavera
06 May
Deportivo Fabril
1 : 0
Cerceda
29 Apr
Cerceda
1 : 1
Ponferradina
22 Apr
Coruxo FC
3 : 2
Cerceda
14 Apr
Cerceda
1 : 1
Rayo Majadahonda
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CD Choco

(Away)
22 Apr
CD Choco
1 : 3
Rapido de Bouzas
16 Apr
Arzua
3 : 1
CD Choco
06 Apr
CD Choco
0 : 1
Estradense
01 Apr
Arosa SC
1 : 0
CD Choco
26 Mar
CD Choco
0 : 1
Deportivo Fabril
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