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Cerceda vs Dorneda

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Tercera Division - Group 1 2012/2013
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 1 2012/2013 game between Cerceda and Dorneda finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dorneda.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Cerceda
30%
Draws
54%
Dorneda
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Dorneda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Dorneda carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Dorneda's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 1 2012/2013 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Cerceda Clean Sheet 15%
Dorneda Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cerceda Dorneda
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 1 7
Draws 8 6
Losses 22 17
Goals Scored 0.65 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.87 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 0.79 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 2, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Dorneda vs Cerceda
2:0
Sep 22, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Cerceda vs Dorneda
2:0
Mar 17, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Cerceda vs Dorneda
2:3
Oct 28, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Dorneda vs Cerceda
0:1
May 13, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Cerceda vs Dorneda
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cerceda 23 / 100
Dorneda 49 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cerceda Dorneda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dorneda Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dorneda has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Cerceda's goal record stands at 48% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Cerceda has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Cerceda VS -
0.38 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Cerceda

(Home)
13 May
Cerceda
0 : 2
CF Talavera
06 May
Deportivo Fabril
1 : 0
Cerceda
29 Apr
Cerceda
1 : 1
Ponferradina
22 Apr
Coruxo FC
3 : 2
Cerceda
14 Apr
Cerceda
1 : 1
Rayo Majadahonda
Page 1 of 7

Dorneda

(Away)
11 May
Dorneda
1 : 1
Pontevedra
04 May
Barbadas-Bentraces
0 : 1
Dorneda
27 Apr
Dorneda
2 : 3
Deportivo Fabril
17 Apr
Rapido de Bouzas
2 : 1
Dorneda
13 Apr
Dorneda
1 : 0
Alondras
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Racing Club Ferrol 38 32 1 5 98:22 97
2 Celta Vigo B 38 22 11 5 75:34 77
3 Compostela 38 21 10 7 64:28 73
4 Deportivo Fabril 38 21 8 9 76:33 71
5 Pontevedra 38 17 12 9 57:45 63
6 CD AS Pontes 38 18 5 15 56:53 59
7 SD Ordenes 38 14 13 11 45:38 55
8 Rapido de Bouzas 38 14 10 14 39:53 52
9 Alondras 38 14 10 14 48:45 52
10 Racing Club Villalbes 38 12 12 14 45:42 48
11 Cerceda 38 12 12 14 35:44 48
12 Somozas 38 11 14 13 41:45 47
13 Betanzos CF 38 13 8 17 48:61 47
14 Barbadas-Bentraces 38 12 11 15 39:47 47
15 SD Negreira 38 12 9 17 37:56 45
16 Dorneda 38 13 6 19 37:55 45
17 Villalonga 38 11 12 15 44:50 45
18 Bergantinos 38 8 6 24 28:63 30
19 Celtiga 38 5 10 23 28:71 25
20 Naron 38 4 8 26 30:85 20
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)