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Stadium Background

Cerceda vs Naron

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Tercera Division - Group 1 2010/2011
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 1 2010/2011 game between Cerceda and Naron finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cerceda.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Cerceda
28%
Draws
22%
Naron
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Cerceda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cerceda come out ahead of Naron on wins alone.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Cerceda taking it.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 1 2010/2011 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Cerceda have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Cerceda Clean Sheet 15%
Naron Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cerceda Naron
Matches Played 36 32
Wins 7 4
Draws 8 7
Losses 21 21
Goals Scored 0.38 0
Goals Conceded 2.13 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 20, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Cerceda vs Naron
2:0
Sep 2, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Naron vs Cerceda
0:1
Mar 27, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Cerceda vs Naron
1:0
Oct 30, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Naron vs Cerceda
0:0
Feb 20, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Naron vs Cerceda
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cerceda 48 / 100
Naron 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cerceda Naron

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CER Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Naron has conceded goals in 84% of their last 32 outings.

Naron's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Cerceda scored in 58% of their last 36 games.

Historical meetings average 1.20 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Cerceda VS -
0.38 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Cerceda

(Home)
13 May
Cerceda
0 : 2
CF Talavera
06 May
Deportivo Fabril
1 : 0
Cerceda
29 Apr
Cerceda
1 : 1
Ponferradina
22 Apr
Coruxo FC
3 : 2
Cerceda
14 Apr
Cerceda
1 : 1
Rayo Majadahonda
Page 1 of 8

Naron

(Away)
19 May
Rapido de Bouzas
4 : 1
Naron
12 May
Naron
3 : 3
Deportivo Fabril
05 May
Betanzos CF
2 : 1
Naron
28 Apr
Naron
1 : 3
Villalonga
21 Apr
Racing Club Ferrol
5 : 0
Naron
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cerceda36265558:1783
2Racing Club Ferrol36227779:2973
3CD Ourense362141171:3167
4Racing Club Villalbes361712739:2563
5Somozas361612849:3260
6Alondras361413947:3855
7SD Ordenes3615101142:4455
8SD Negreira361491341:3551
9Villalonga3612131142:4549
10Rapido de Bouzas361351843:5144
11CD AS Pontes3611111441:5344
12Estradense3611111437:4144
13Meson do Bento367191036:4840
14Bergantinos3610101633:4540
15CD Cultural Areas369121540:5539
16Pontevedra B369101730:4637
17Santa Comba368111730:5235
18Naron36872133:5631
19Portonovo SD36572423:7122
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)