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Cerceda vs Naron

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Tercera Division - Group 1 2010/2011
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 1 2010/2011 game between Cerceda and Naron finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cerceda.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Cerceda
30%
Draws
23%
Naron
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cerceda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Naron come out ahead of Cerceda on wins alone.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Cerceda taking it.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 1 2010/2011 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Cerceda have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Cerceda Clean Sheet 15%
Naron Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cerceda Naron
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 2 4
Draws 8 7
Losses 21 19
Goals Scored 0.71 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.81 2.3
Expected Goals (xG) 0.79 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 20, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Cerceda vs Naron
2:0
Sep 2, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Naron vs Cerceda
0:1
Mar 27, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Cerceda vs Naron
1:0
Oct 30, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Naron vs Cerceda
0:0
Feb 20, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Naron vs Cerceda
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cerceda 48 / 100
Naron 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cerceda Naron

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cerceda Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Naron has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Naron's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Cerceda scored in 52% of their last 31 games.

Historical meetings average 1.20 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Cerceda VS -
0.38 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Cerceda

(Home)
13 May
Cerceda
0 : 2
CF Talavera
06 May
Deportivo Fabril
1 : 0
Cerceda
29 Apr
Cerceda
1 : 1
Ponferradina
22 Apr
Coruxo FC
3 : 2
Cerceda
14 Apr
Cerceda
1 : 1
Rayo Majadahonda
Page 1 of 7

Naron

(Away)
19 May
Rapido de Bouzas
4 : 1
Naron
12 May
Naron
3 : 3
Deportivo Fabril
05 May
Betanzos CF
2 : 1
Naron
28 Apr
Naron
1 : 3
Villalonga
21 Apr
Racing Club Ferrol
5 : 0
Naron
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cerceda 36 26 5 5 58:17 83
2 Racing Club Ferrol 36 22 7 7 79:29 73
3 CD Ourense 36 21 4 11 71:31 67
4 Racing Club Villalbes 36 17 12 7 39:25 63
5 Somozas 36 16 12 8 49:32 60
6 Alondras 36 14 13 9 47:38 55
7 SD Ordenes 36 15 10 11 42:44 55
8 SD Negreira 36 14 9 13 41:35 51
9 Villalonga 36 12 13 11 42:45 49
10 Rapido de Bouzas 36 13 5 18 43:51 44
11 CD AS Pontes 36 11 11 14 41:53 44
12 Estradense 36 11 11 14 37:41 44
13 Meson do Bento 36 7 19 10 36:48 40
14 Bergantinos 36 10 10 16 33:45 40
15 CD Cultural Areas 36 9 12 15 40:55 39
16 Pontevedra B 36 9 10 17 30:46 37
17 Santa Comba 36 8 11 17 30:52 35
18 Naron 36 8 7 21 33:56 31
19 Portonovo SD 36 5 7 24 23:71 22
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)