Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Tercera Division - Group 1 2008/2009 game between Cerceda and Portonovo SD finished 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
16%
30%
54%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Portonovo SD
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
54%
/ Medium Confidence
- Portonovo SD carry the better recent record into this one.
- Portonovo SD are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- Regular Tercera Division - Group 1 2008/2009 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 22.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Cerceda Clean Sheet 13%
Portonovo SD Clean Sheet 17%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Cerceda | Portonovo SD |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 29 |
| Wins | 3 | 5 |
| Draws | 8 | 6 |
| Losses | 21 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 0.84 | 0.76 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.75 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 1.70 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 15, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Portonovo SD vs Cerceda
0:3
Dec 30, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Cerceda vs Portonovo SD
4:0
Mar 29, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Cerceda vs Portonovo SD
0:0
Nov 9, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Portonovo SD vs Cerceda
3:2
May 11, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Portonovo SD vs Cerceda
2:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Cerceda 27 / 100
Portonovo SD 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Cerceda Portonovo SD
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Portonovo SD Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Portonovo SD's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Cerceda's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 32 recent games.
Cerceda went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Cerceda VS Portonovo SD
0.75 Goals Scored 1.4
2 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 60%
63% Over 2.5 60%
25% Over 3.5 20%
Recent Form & Match History
Cerceda
(Home) 13 May
Cerceda
0 : 2 CF Talavera
06 May
Deportivo Fabril
1 : 0 Cerceda
29 Apr
Cerceda
1 : 1 Ponferradina
22 Apr
Coruxo FC
3 : 2 Cerceda
14 Apr
Cerceda
1 : 1 Rayo Majadahonda
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13 May
Cerceda
0 : 2 CF Talavera
29 Apr
Cerceda
1 : 1 Ponferradina
14 Apr
Cerceda
1 : 1 Rayo Majadahonda
31 Mar
Cerceda
1 : 1 Racing Club Ferrol
17 Mar
Cerceda
1 : 1 CF Fuenlabrada
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Portonovo SD
(Away) 27 Sept
Portonovo SD
4 : 2 Silva SD
20 Sept
Barco
2 : 1 Portonovo SD
13 Sept
Portonovo SD
2 : 1 Arenteiro
06 Sept
Somozas
0 : 0 Portonovo SD
15 May
Portonovo SD
0 : 3 Cerceda
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Barco
2 : 1 Portonovo SD
06 Sept
Somozas
0 : 0 Portonovo SD
08 May
SD Negreira
6 : 1 Portonovo SD
21 Apr
Alondras
4 : 0 Portonovo SD
10 Apr
Racing Club Ferrol
4 : 0 Portonovo SD
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Compostela | 38 | 25 | 10 | 3 | 70:26 | 85 |
| 2 | Montaneros | 38 | 22 | 10 | 6 | 68:41 | 76 |
| 3 | CD Ourense | 38 | 22 | 5 | 11 | 74:40 | 71 |
| 4 | Cerceda | 38 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 66:47 | 64 |
| 5 | Naron | 38 | 16 | 10 | 12 | 67:55 | 58 |
| 6 | Lalin | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36:37 | 53 |
| 7 | Coruxo FC | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 48:39 | 53 |
| 8 | Santa Comba | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 42:47 | 50 |
| 9 | SD Negreira | 38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 42:52 | 50 |
| 10 | Alondras | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 48:45 | 50 |
| 11 | Somozas | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 46:59 | 46 |
| 12 | Celtiga | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 34:46 | 45 |
| 13 | SD Ordenes | 38 | 10 | 15 | 13 | 36:35 | 45 |
| 14 | Verin CF | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 45:58 | 45 |
| 15 | Rapido de Bouzas | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 38:54 | 44 |
| 16 | Villalonga | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 49:53 | 44 |
| 17 | Pontevedra B | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 36:48 | 43 |
| 18 | Portonovo SD | 38 | 8 | 15 | 15 | 36:51 | 39 |
| 19 | Arosa SC | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 61:83 | 35 |
| 20 | Gran Pena | 38 | 8 | 10 | 20 | 29:55 | 34 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2008/2009 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2008/2009 (Main)
